BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 46 Overall: (4-2) Overall Strength = 157.73
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-05-2026 Home W * 161.27 17 3 1A 72 (3-3) Tulane 4.27 2.59 9.73
2 09-12-2026 Away W * 162.36 31 27 1A 57 (3-3) Illinois 5.36 -0.02 -1.36
3 09-19-2026 Home W * * 160.76 35 7 1A 97 (3-4) Stanford 3.76 18.18 24.24
4 09-26-2026 Home W 153.39 62 7 1B 116 (3-4) William & Mary -3.61 * 48.96 58.61
5 10-10-2026 Away L * * 148.19 25 28 1A 75 (2-4) Georgia Tech -8.82 9.58 5.82
6 10-17-2026 Home L * * 156.04 20 24 1A 36 (4-2) North Carolina -0.96 -5.29 -3.04
7 10/23/2026 Away * * 1A 58 (4-3) Virginia 1.99
8 10/31/2026 Home * * 1A 79 (3-3) Boston College 12.45
9 11/07/2026 Away * * 1A 85 (3-3) North Carolina St 8.71
10 11/14/2026 Away * * 1A 6 (6-0) Miami FL -23.75
11 11/20/2026 Home * * 1A 50 (4-2) Clemson 4.25
12 11/28/2026 Away * * 1A 20 (6-1) Wake Forest -15.31
Averages 157.00 31.7 16.0
Best game: 162.36 = 4 point win over Illinois
Worst game: 148.19 = 3 point loss to Georgia Tech
Team stdev: 5.53