BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Virginia
Class: 1A Class Rank: 10 Overall: (2-1) Overall Strength = 173.41
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (1-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Home W * * 187.73 34 8 1A 58 (1-2) North Carolina St 13.96 1.99 12.04
2 09-11-2026 Home W 174.51 59 3 1B 42 (2-2) Norfolk St 0.73 * 27.12 55.27
3 09-19-2026 Neutral L * 159.08 27 38 1A 8 (3-0) West Virginia -14.69 29.17 3.69
4 09/26/2026 Home * 1A 41 (2-1) Delaware 15.48
5 10/03/2026 Away * * 1A 52 (1-2) Florida St 12.16
6 10/10/2026 Home * * 1A 67 (1-2) Syracuse 24.16
7 10/17/2026 Away * * 1A 42 (2-1) SMU 9.52
8 10/23/2026 Home * * 1A 29 (3-0) Duke 11.72
9 10/31/2026 Away * * 1A 50 (2-1) Wake Forest 11.92
10 11/14/2026 Home * * 1A 68 (2-1) California 24.25
11 11/21/2026 Home * * 1A 76 (2-1) North Carolina 25.92
12 11/28/2026 Away * * 1A 12 (3-0) Virginia Tech -0.90
Averages 173.77 40.0 16.3
Best game: 187.73 = 26 point win over North Carolina St
Worst game: 159.08 = 11 point loss to West Virginia
Team stdev: 14.34