BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Troy
Class: 1A Class Rank: 98 Overall: (2-2) Overall Strength = 167.40
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (0-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (1-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 165.57 38 20 1B 50 (1-3) Nicholls St -1.83 1.91 19.83
2 09/06/2025 Away L * 172.65 16 27 1A 56 (1-3) Clemson 5.24 -4.68 -16.24
3 09/13/2025 Home L * 165.13 7 28 1A 30 (4-0) Memphis -2.28 -11.01 -18.72
4 09/20/2025 Away W * 166.27 21 17 1A 111 (2-2) Buffalo -1.13 -0.78 5.13
5 10/04/2025 Home * * 1A 121 (1-3) South Alabama 12.93
6 10/11/2025 Away * * 1A 70 (3-1) Texas St-San Marcos -10.46
7 10/18/2025 Away * * 1A 116 (2-1) Louisiana-Monroe 6.56
8 10/25/2025 Home * * 1A 131 (1-3) Louisiana-Lafayette 17.07
9 11/01/2025 Home * * 1A 96 (1-3) Arkansas St 1.93
10 11/13/2025 Away * * 1A 11 (2-1) Old Dominion -38.52
11 11/22/2025 Home * * 1A 130 (1-3) Georgia St 16.86
12 11/29/2025 Away * * 1A 77 (2-2) Southern Miss -8.58
Averages 167.40 20.5 23.0
Best game: 172.65 = 11 point loss to Clemson
Worst game: 165.13 = 21 point loss to Memphis
Team stdev: 3.53