BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Troy
Class: 1A Class Rank: 98 Overall: (8-6) Overall Strength = 144.60
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (6-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (7-6)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 139.67 38 20 1B 64 ( 4- 8) Nicholls St -4.93 1.91 22.93
2 09/06/2025 Away L * 153.75 16 27 1A 38 ( 7- 6) Clemson 9.15 -4.69 -20.15
3 09/13/2025 Home L * 134.55 7 28 1A 64 ( 8- 5) Memphis -10.05 -11.01 -10.95
4 09/20/2025 Away W * 143.77 21 17 1A 121 ( 5- 7) Buffalo -0.83 -0.81 4.83
5 10/04/2025 Home W * * 144.55 31 24 1A 110 ( 4- 8) South Alabama -0.05 7.98 7.05
6 10/11/2025 Away W * * 159.91 48 41 1A 84 ( 7- 6) Texas St-San Marcos 15.30 -5.67 -8.30
7 10/18/2025 Away W * * 154.03 37 14 1A 132 ( 3- 9) Louisiana-Monroe 9.42 6.12 13.58
8 10/25/2025 Home W * * 150.18 35 23 1A 113 ( 6- 7) Louisiana-Lafayette 5.58 9.08 6.42
9 11/01/2025 Home L * * 125.99 10 23 1A 109 ( 7- 6) Arkansas St -18.61 8.76 5.61
10 11/13/2025 Away L * * 130.03 0 33 1A 61 (10- 3) Old Dominion -14.57 -7.54 -18.43
11 11/22/2025 Home W * * 142.04 31 19 1A 133 ( 1-11) Georgia St -2.56 16.99 14.56
12 11/29/2025 Away W * * 155.24 28 18 1A 100 ( 7- 6) Southern Miss 10.64 -3.67 -0.64
13 12/05/2025 Away L * * 151.48 14 31 1A 22 (12- 2) James Madison 6.87 -27.28 -23.87
14 12/16/2025 Neutral L * 139.25 13 17 1A 101 ( 9- 5) Jacksonville St -5.35 1.29 1.35
Averages 144.60 23.5 23.9
Best game: 159.91 = 7 point win over Texas St-San Marcos
Worst game: 125.99 = 13 point loss to Arkansas St
Team stdev: 10.07