BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Troy
Class: 1A Class Rank: 97 Overall: (3-2) Overall Strength = 161.30
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (1-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 155.95 38 20 1B 62 (1-5) Nicholls St -5.35 1.91 23.35
2 09/06/2025 Away L * 166.98 16 27 1A 54 (2-3) Clemson 5.69 -4.68 -16.69
3 09/13/2025 Home L * 158.62 7 28 1A 38 (6-0) Memphis -2.68 -11.01 -18.32
4 09/20/2025 Away W * 160.55 21 17 1A 119 (3-3) Buffalo -0.74 -0.78 4.74
5 10/04/2025 Home W * * 164.37 31 24 1A 120 (1-5) South Alabama 3.07 7.94 3.93
6 10/11/2025 Away * * 1A 86 (3-2) Texas St-San Marcos -5.65
7 10/18/2025 Away * * 1A 114 (3-2) Louisiana-Monroe 3.98
8 10/25/2025 Home * * 1A 127 (2-3) Louisiana-Lafayette 11.51
9 11/01/2025 Home * * 1A 126 (2-4) Arkansas St 11.32
10 11/13/2025 Away * * 1A 14 (4-1) Old Dominion -35.72
11 11/22/2025 Home * * 1A 122 (1-4) Georgia St 9.95
12 11/29/2025 Away * * 1A 72 (3-2) Southern Miss -10.16
Averages 161.30 22.6 23.2
Best game: 166.98 = 11 point loss to Clemson
Worst game: 155.95 = 18 point win over Nicholls St
Team stdev: 4.42