BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Troy
Class: 1A Class Rank: 94 Overall: (6-2) Overall Strength = 154.81
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (4-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (5-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 146.02 38 20 1B 73 (2-6) Nicholls St -8.79 1.91 26.79
2 09/06/2025 Away L * 158.91 16 27 1A 54 (3-4) Clemson 4.10 -4.69 -15.10
3 09/13/2025 Home L * 147.46 7 28 1A 35 (7-1) Memphis -7.35 -11.01 -13.65
4 09/20/2025 Away W * 149.99 21 17 1A 124 (4-4) Buffalo -4.82 -0.81 8.82
5 10/04/2025 Home W * * 153.11 31 24 1A 121 (2-6) South Alabama -1.70 7.97 8.70
6 10/11/2025 Away W * * 165.94 48 41 1A 88 (3-4) Texas St-San Marcos 11.13 -5.66 -4.13
7 10/18/2025 Away W * * 161.12 37 14 1A 132 (3-5) Louisiana-Monroe 6.31 6.11 16.69
8 10/25/2025 Home W * * 155.93 35 23 1A 115 (2-6) Louisiana-Lafayette 1.12 9.12 10.88
9 11/01/2025 Home * * 1A 111 (4-4) Arkansas St 8.77
10 11/13/2025 Away * * 1A 86 (5-3) Old Dominion -4.38
11 11/22/2025 Home * * 1A 133 (1-7) Georgia St 19.13
12 11/29/2025 Away * * 1A 84 (6-2) Southern Miss -4.98
Averages 154.81 29.1 24.2
Best game: 165.94 = 7 point win over Texas St-San Marcos
Worst game: 146.02 = 18 point win over Nicholls St
Team stdev: 6.96