BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Buffalo
Class: 1A Class Rank: 120 Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength = 138.42
Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (4-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (4-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Away L * 143.96 10 23 1A 69 ( 6- 4) Minnesota 5.64 -13.16 -18.64
2 09/06/2025 Home W 137.38 45 6 1B 121 ( 0-10) St Francis PA -0.93 * 22.52 39.93
3 09/13/2025 Away W * * 138.40 31 28 1A 129 ( 4- 6) Kent St 0.08 16.92 2.92
4 09/20/2025 Home L * 137.25 17 21 1A 101 ( 6- 4) Troy -1.06 0.81 -2.94
5 09/27/2025 Home L * 147.24 17 20 1A 83 ( 8- 3) Connecticut 8.92 -10.09 -11.92
6 10/04/2025 Home W * * 136.10 31 30 1A 127 ( 4- 7) Eastern Michigan -2.22 16.96 3.22
7 10/18/2025 Away W * * 126.48 28 21 1A 136 ( 0-10) Massachusetts -11.83 26.06 18.83
8 10/25/2025 Home L * * 124.23 16 24 1A 124 ( 4- 7) Akron -14.09 2.05 6.09
9 11/01/2025 Away W * * 165.95 28 3 1A 118 ( 3- 7) Bowling Green 27.63 -8.64 -2.63
10 11/12/2025 Away L * * 126.18 19 38 1A 104 ( 6- 4) Central Michigan -12.13 -7.96 -6.87
11 11/19/2025 Home * * 1A 93 ( 5- 5) Miami OH -6.95
12 11/28/2025 Home * * 1A 87 ( 6- 4) Ohio U. -9.05
Averages 138.32 24.2 21.4
Best game: 165.95 = 25 point win over Bowling Green
Worst game: 124.23 = 8 point loss to Akron
Team stdev: 12.33