BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Memphis
Class: 1A Class Rank: 64 Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength = 157.70
Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (4-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (7-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 155.15 45 10 1B 85 ( 5- 7) Chattanooga -2.35 * 11.00 37.35
2 09/06/2025 Away W * 155.93 38 16 1A 133 ( 1-11) Georgia St -1.57 22.73 23.57
3 09/13/2025 Away W * 167.55 28 7 1A 98 ( 8- 6) Troy 10.05 11.01 10.95
4 09/20/2025 Home W * 159.43 32 31 1A 47 ( 2-10) Arkansas 1.93 -1.53 -0.93
5 09/27/2025 Away W * * 171.73 55 26 1A 112 ( 4- 8) Florida Atlantic 14.23 29.58 14.77
6 10/04/2025 Home W * * 178.29 45 7 1A 105 ( 4- 8) Tulsa 20.79 27.93 17.21
7 10/18/2025 Away L * * 133.53 24 31 1A 116 ( 4- 8) Alabama-Birmingham -23.97 33.54 16.97
8 10/25/2025 Home W * * 170.19 34 31 1A 25 ( 9- 4) South Florida 12.69 -11.27 -9.69
9 10/31/2025 Away W * * 161.38 38 14 1A 125 ( 5- 8) Rice 3.88 26.98 20.12
10 11/07/2025 Home L * * 151.34 32 38 1A 54 (11- 3) Tulane -6.16 7.68 0.16
11 11/15/2025 Away L * * 160.41 27 31 1A 43 ( 9- 4) East Carolina 2.91 -4.65 -6.91
12 11/27/2025 Home L * * 143.04 17 28 1A 66 (11- 2) Navy -14.46 8.88 3.46
13 12/19/2025 Neutral L * 139.53 7 31 1A 37 ( 8- 5) North Carolina St -17.97 -1.67 -6.03
Averages 157.50 32.5 23.2
Best game: 178.29 = 38 point win over Tulsa
Worst game: 133.53 = 7 point loss to Alabama-Birmingham
Team stdev: 13.15