BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Duke

Class: 1A Class Rank: 26 Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength =  143.12
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (7-5)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2023 Home    W * 162.46  28   7   1A  25 (  9-  4) Clemson                19.34      1.66                      
  2 09/09/2023 Home    W   148.51  42   7   1B  26 (  9-  3) Lafayette               5.39     29.61                      
  3 09/16/2023 Home    W   155.09  38  14   1A  60 (  8-  5) Northwestern           11.97     12.03                      
  4 09/23/2023 Away    W   151.08  41   7   1A 123 (  3-  9) Connecticut             7.96     26.04                      
  5 09/30/2023 Home    L   147.95  14  21   1A   7 ( 10-  3) Notre Dame              4.83    -11.83                      
  6 10/14/2023 Home    W * 158.62  24   3   1A  40 (  9-  4) North Carolina St      15.50      5.50                      
  7 10/21/2023 Away    L * 134.59  20  38   1A  15 ( 13-  1) Florida St             -8.53     -9.47                      
  8 10/28/2023 Away    L * 124.16   0  23   1A  22 ( 10-  4) Louisville            -18.96     -4.04                      
  9 11/02/2023 Home    W * 128.87  24  21   1A  80 (  4-  8) Wake Forest           -14.25     17.25                      
 10 11/11/2023 Away    L * 139.81  45  47   1A  41 (  8-  5) North Carolina         -3.30      1.30                      
 11 11/18/2023 Away    L * 126.03  27  30   1A  84 (  3-  9) Virginia              -17.09     14.09                      
 12 11/25/2023 Home    W * 136.49  30  19   1A  82 (  3-  9) Pittsburgh             -6.62     17.62                      
 13 12/23/2023 Unknown W   146.85  17  10   1A  38 ( 11-  3) Troy                    3.74      3.26                      
      Averages             143.12  26.9 19.0

Best game:  162.46 = 21 point win over Clemson
Worst game: 124.16 = 23 point loss to Louisville
Team stdev:  12.48