BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Virginia
Class: 1A Class Rank: 84 Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength = 126.86
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (2-6) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-9)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2023 Neutral L 112.55 13 49 1A 18 ( 9- 4) Tennessee -14.32 -21.68
2 09/09/2023 Home L 136.68 35 36 1A 39 ( 11- 2) James Madison 9.81 -10.81
3 09/15/2023 Away L 115.94 14 42 1A 30 ( 8- 5) Maryland -10.92 -17.08
4 09/22/2023 Home L * 134.62 21 24 1A 40 ( 9- 4) North Carolina St 7.76 -10.76
5 09/30/2023 Away L * 127.63 24 27 1A 77 ( 7- 6) Boston College 0.76 -3.76
6 10/07/2023 Home W 120.95 27 13 1B 47 ( 6- 5) William & Mary -5.92 19.92
7 10/21/2023 Away W * 145.81 31 27 1A 41 ( 8- 5) North Carolina 18.95 -14.95
8 10/28/2023 Away L * 140.10 26 29 1A 34 ( 7- 6) Miami FL 13.23 -16.23
9 11/04/2023 Home L * 106.28 17 45 1A 51 ( 7- 6) Georgia Tech -20.58 -7.42
10 11/09/2023 Away L * 140.16 24 31 1A 22 ( 10- 4) Louisville 13.29 -20.29
11 11/18/2023 Home W * 143.95 30 27 1A 26 ( 8- 5) Duke 17.09 -14.09
12 11/25/2023 Home L * 97.71 17 55 1A 47 ( 7- 6) Virginia Tech -29.16 -8.84
Averages 126.86 23.2 33.8
Best game: 145.81 = 4 point win over North Carolina
Worst game: 97.71 = 38 point loss to Virginia Tech
Team stdev: 15.93