BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Troy
Class: 1A Class Rank: 38 Overall: (11-3) Overall Strength = 139.85
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (8-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (10-3)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2023 Home W 123.29 48 30 1B 55 ( 3- 8) Stephen F. Austin -16.57 * 34.57
2 09/09/2023 Away L 128.24 13 42 1A 11 ( 9- 4) Kansas St -11.62 -17.38
3 09/16/2023 Home L * 135.68 14 16 1A 39 ( 11- 2) James Madison -4.18 2.18
4 09/23/2023 Home W 126.59 27 24 1A 92 ( 8- 5) Western Kentucky -13.27 16.27
5 09/30/2023 Away W * 147.34 28 7 1A 95 ( 7- 6) Georgia St 7.49 13.51
6 10/07/2023 Home W * 153.30 37 3 1A 109 ( 6- 7) Arkansas St 13.45 20.55
7 10/14/2023 Away W 144.09 19 0 1A 103 ( 6- 6) Army 4.24 14.76
8 10/28/2023 Away W * 146.65 31 13 1A 88 ( 8- 5) Texas St-San Marcos 6.80 11.20
9 11/02/2023 Home W * 151.38 28 10 1A 54 ( 7- 6) South Alabama 11.52 6.48
10 11/11/2023 Away W * 143.78 45 14 1A 129 ( 2- 10) Louisiana-Monroe 3.93 27.07
11 11/18/2023 Home W * 129.46 31 24 1A 94 ( 6- 7) Louisiana-Lafayette -10.39 17.39
12 11/25/2023 Away W * 134.24 35 17 1A 125 ( 3- 9) Southern Miss -5.62 23.62
13 12/02/2023 Unknown W * 157.81 49 23 1A 67 ( 9- 5) Appalachian St 17.95 8.05
14 12/23/2023 Unknown L 136.12 10 17 1A 26 ( 8- 5) Duke -3.74 -3.26
Averages 139.85 29.6 17.1
Best game: 157.81 = 26 point win over Appalachian St
Worst game: 123.29 = 18 point win over Stephen F. Austin
Team stdev: 10.84