BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northwestern

Class: 1A Class Rank: 101 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (1-8) Overall: (1-11) Overall Strength =  137.64

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/27/2022 Neutral W * 151.18  31  28   1A  71 (  4-  8) Nebraska                9.33     -6.33                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    L   143.54  23  31   1A  51 (  8-  4) Duke                    1.70     -9.70                      
  3 09/17/2022 Home    L   125.55  24  31   1B  21 (  5-  6) Southern Illinois     -16.30      9.30                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    L   129.21  14  17   1A 105 (  6-  6) Miami OH              -12.63      9.63                      
  5 10/01/2022 Away    L * 163.59   7  17   1A   5 ( 10-  2) Penn State             21.74 *  -31.74                      
  6 10/08/2022 Home    L * 121.76   7  42   1A  31 (  6-  6) Wisconsin             -20.09    -14.91                      
  7 10/22/2022 Away    L * 153.51  24  31   1A  34 (  7-  5) Maryland               11.66    -18.66                      
  8 10/29/2022 Away    L * 139.98  13  33   1A  36 (  7-  5) Iowa                   -1.87    -18.13                      
  9 11/05/2022 Home    L * 162.23   7  21   1A   2 ( 11-  1) Ohio State             20.38 *  -34.38                      
 10 11/12/2022 Away    L * 135.81   3  31   1A  26 (  8-  4) Minnesota              -6.04    -21.96                      
 11 11/19/2022 Away    L * 151.45   9  17   1A  42 (  8-  5) Purdue                  9.60    -17.60                      
 12 11/26/2022 Home    L * 124.36   3  41   1A  14 (  8-  4) Illinois              -17.49    -20.51                      
      Averages             141.85  13.8 28.3

Best game:  163.59 = 10 point loss to Penn State
Worst game: 121.76 = 35 point loss to Wisconsin
Team stdev:  14.71