BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Duke

Class: 1A Class Rank: 51 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength =  154.24

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2022 Home    W   164.00  30   0   1A 107 (  3-  9) Temple                 10.39     19.61                      
  2 09/10/2022 Away    W   151.92  31  23   1A 101 (  1- 11) Northwestern           -1.70      9.70                      
  3 09/17/2022 Home    W   146.69  49  20   1B  59 (  7-  4) North Carolina A&T     -6.93 *   35.93                      
  4 09/24/2022 Away    L   152.39  27  35   1A  35 (  6-  6) Kansas                 -1.23     -6.77                      
  5 10/01/2022 Home    W * 161.07  38  17   1A  88 (  3-  7) Virginia                7.46     13.54                      
  6 10/08/2022 Away    L * 141.15  20  23   1A  93 (  5-  7) Georgia Tech          -12.46      9.46                      
  7 10/15/2022 Home    L * 146.33  35  38   1A  59 (  9-  4) North Carolina         -7.29      4.29                      
  8 10/22/2022 Away    W * 168.20  45  21   1A  91 (  5-  7) Miami FL               14.59      9.41                      
  9 11/04/2022 Away    W * 145.78  38  31   1A 103 (  3-  9) Boston College         -7.83     14.83                      
 10 11/12/2022 Home    W * 154.19  24   7   1A  96 (  3-  8) Virginia Tech           0.58     16.42                      
 11 11/19/2022 Away    L * 155.35  26  28   1A  44 (  8-  4) Pittsburgh              1.74     -3.74                      
 12 11/26/2022 Home    W * 156.28  34  31   1A  40 (  7-  5) Wake Forest             2.67      0.33                      
      Averages             153.61  33.1 22.8

Best game:  168.20 = 24 point win over Miami FL
Worst game: 141.15 = 3 point loss to Georgia Tech
Team stdev:   8.03