BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 14 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-4) Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength =  164.43

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/27/2022 Home    W   166.80  38   6   1A 102 (  7-  5) Wyoming                 2.37     29.63                      
  2 09/02/2022 Away    L * 146.07  20  23   1A  72 (  4-  8) Indiana               -18.36     15.36                      
  3 09/10/2022 Home    W   161.07  24   3   1A  88 (  3-  7) Virginia               -3.36     24.36                      
  4 09/22/2022 Home    W   165.77  31   0   1B  17 (  7-  4) Chattanooga             1.34     29.66                      
  5 10/01/2022 Away    W * 184.89  34  10   1A  31 (  6-  6) Wisconsin              20.46      3.54                      
  6 10/08/2022 Home    W * 158.84   9   6   1A  36 (  7-  5) Iowa                   -5.59      8.59                      
  7 10/15/2022 Home    W * 171.68  26  14   1A  26 (  8-  4) Minnesota               7.25      4.75                      
  8 10/29/2022 Away    W * 167.25  26   9   1A  71 (  4-  8) Nebraska                2.82     14.18                      
  9 11/05/2022 Home    L * 143.46  15  23   1A  53 (  5-  7) Michigan St           -20.97     12.97                      
 10 11/12/2022 Home    L * 148.32  24  31   1A  42 (  8-  5) Purdue                -16.11      9.11                      
 11 11/19/2022 Away    L * 177.10  17  19   1A   3 ( 13-  0) Michigan               12.67    -14.67                      
 12 11/26/2022 Away    W * 181.92  41   3   1A 101 (  1- 11) Northwestern           17.49     20.51                      
      Averages             164.43  25.4 12.2

Best game:  184.89 = 24 point win over Wisconsin
Worst game: 143.46 = 8 point loss to Michigan St
Team stdev:  13.59