BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 58 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (6-7) Overall Strength = 157.98
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2019 Home W 155.02 42 3 1A 130 ( 0- 12) Akron -2.73 * 41.73
2 09/07/2019 Away W 139.67 31 23 1A 126 ( 2- 10) Connecticut -18.08 26.08
3 09/14/2019 Home L 141.11 31 34 1A 99 ( 6- 7) Eastern Michigan -16.65 13.65
4 09/21/2019 Home L * 156.98 38 42 1A 43 ( 5- 7) Nebraska -0.77 -3.23
5 10/05/2019 Away L * 151.93 17 40 1A 20 ( 11- 2) Minnesota -5.83 -17.17
6 10/12/2019 Home L * 159.69 25 42 1A 11 ( 9- 4) Michigan 1.94 -18.94
7 10/19/2019 Home W * 183.91 24 23 1A 6 ( 10- 4) Wisconsin 26.16 -25.16
8 10/26/2019 Away W * 178.38 24 6 1A 56 ( 4- 8) Purdue 20.63 -2.63
9 11/02/2019 Home W * 165.44 38 10 1A 123 ( 2- 10) Rutgers 7.68 20.32
10 11/09/2019 Away W * 169.89 37 34 1A 42 ( 7- 6) Michigan St 12.13 -9.13
11 11/23/2019 Away L * 168.09 10 19 1A 16 ( 10- 3) Iowa 10.34 -19.34
12 11/30/2019 Home L * 133.89 10 29 1A 76 ( 3- 9) Northwestern -23.86 4.86
13 12/30/2019 Neutral L 146.80 20 35 1A 48 ( 8- 5) California -10.96 -4.04
Averages 157.75 26.7 26.2
Best game: 183.91 = 1 point win over Wisconsin
Worst game: 133.89 = 19 point loss to Northwestern
Team stdev: 15.17