BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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California

Class: 1A Class Rank: 48 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength =  161.80

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2019 Home    W   154.08  27  13   1B  13 (  5-  7) UC-Davis               -7.71     21.71                      
  2 09/07/2019 Away    W * 177.18  20  19   1A  18 (  8-  5) Washington             15.38    -14.38                      
  3 09/14/2019 Home    W   148.07  23  17   1A 109 (  4-  8) North Texas           -13.73     19.73                      
  4 09/21/2019 Away    W   172.84  28  20   1A  46 (  4-  8) Mississippi            11.05     -3.05                      
  5 09/27/2019 Home    L * 155.03  17  24   1A  39 (  8-  5) Arizona St             -6.76     -0.24                      
  6 10/05/2019 Away    L * 174.71   7  17   1A   9 ( 12-  2) Oregon                 12.91    -22.91                      
  7 10/19/2019 Home    L * 155.01  17  21   1A  50 (  5-  7) Oregon St              -6.78      2.78                      
  8 10/26/2019 Away    L * 144.48   0  35   1A  10 ( 11-  3) Utah                  -17.32    -17.68                      
  9 11/09/2019 Home    W * 176.38  33  20   1A  37 (  6-  7) Washington St          14.58     -1.58                      
 10 11/16/2019 Home    L * 142.00  17  41   1A  27 (  8-  5) Southern Cal          -19.80     -4.20                      
 11 11/23/2019 Away    W * 162.82  24  20   1A  66 (  4-  8) Stanford                1.03      2.97                      
 12 11/30/2019 Away    W * 167.99  28  18   1A  70 (  4-  8) UCLA                    6.19      3.81                      
 13 12/30/2019 Neutral W   172.75  35  20   1A  58 (  6-  7) Illinois               10.96      4.04                      
      Averages             161.80  21.2 21.9

Best game:  177.18 = 1 point win over Washington
Worst game: 142.00 = 24 point loss to Southern Cal
Team stdev:  12.68