BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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UC-Davis

Class: 1B Class Rank: 13 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength =  142.14

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2019 Away    L   149.85  13  27   1A  48 (  8-  5) California              7.71    -21.71                      
  2 09/07/2019 Away    W   138.43  38  35   1B  31 (  9-  3) San Diego              -3.71      6.71                      
  3 09/14/2019 Home    W   143.52  41  13   1B  97 (  4-  7) Lehigh                  1.38     26.62                      
  4 09/21/2019 Away    L   151.10  16  27   1B   1 ( 16-  0) North Dakota St         8.96    -19.96                      
  5 09/28/2019 Home    L * 127.55  20  45   1B   3 ( 10-  4) Montana               -14.59    -10.41                      
  6 10/05/2019 Away    L * 135.13  36  38   1B  37 (  7-  5) North Dakota           -7.00      5.00                      
  7 10/12/2019 Home    W * 154.41  48  24   1B  44 (  3-  8) Cal Poly SLO           12.27     11.73                      
  8 10/19/2019 Away    W * 136.18  33  25   1B  62 (  3-  9) Southern Utah          -5.96     13.96                      
  9 10/26/2019 Home    L * 131.27  20  36   1B   6 ( 11-  4) Weber St              -10.87     -5.13                      
 10 11/09/2019 Away    W * 155.72  45  28   1B  39 (  5-  7) Portland St            13.58      3.42                      
 11 11/16/2019 Home    L * 137.07  17  27   1B   7 ( 11-  4) Montana St             -5.07     -4.93                      
 12 11/23/2019 Away    L * 145.44  17  27   1B   4 (  9-  4) Sacramento St           3.30    -13.30                      
      Averages             142.14  28.7 29.3

Best game:  155.72 = 17 point win over Portland St
Worst game: 127.55 = 25 point loss to Montana
Team stdev:   9.26