BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Michigan
Class: 1A Class Rank: 11 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (6-3) Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength = 179.14
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2019 Home W 163.64 40 21 1A 102 ( 4- 8) Middle Tennessee St -15.10 * 34.10
2 09/07/2019 Home W 152.35 24 21 1A 88 ( 5- 8) Army -26.40 29.40
3 09/21/2019 Away L * 166.02 14 35 1A 6 ( 10- 4) Wisconsin -12.72 -8.28
4 09/28/2019 Home W * 189.44 52 0 1A 123 ( 2- 10) Rutgers 10.69 * 41.31
5 10/05/2019 Home W * 179.98 10 3 1A 16 ( 10- 3) Iowa 1.24 5.76
6 10/12/2019 Away W * 176.81 42 25 1A 58 ( 6- 7) Illinois -1.94 18.94
7 10/19/2019 Away L * 177.62 21 28 1A 5 ( 11- 2) Penn State -1.12 -5.88
8 10/26/2019 Home W 207.43 45 14 1A 14 ( 11- 2) Notre Dame 28.69 2.31
9 11/02/2019 Away W * 184.07 38 7 1A 95 ( 3- 9) Maryland 5.33 25.67
10 11/16/2019 Home W * 196.78 44 10 1A 42 ( 7- 6) Michigan St 18.03 15.97
11 11/23/2019 Away W * 192.31 39 14 1A 32 ( 8- 5) Indiana 13.57 11.43
12 11/30/2019 Home L * 168.89 27 56 1A 1 ( 13- 1) Ohio State -9.86 -19.14
13 01/01/2020 Neutral L 168.32 16 35 1A 4 ( 11- 2) Alabama -10.42 -8.58
Averages 178.74 31.7 20.7
Best game: 207.43 = 31 point win over Notre Dame
Worst game: 152.35 = 3 point win over Army
Team stdev: 15.21