BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northwestern

Class: 1A Class Rank: 32 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-4) Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength =  147.23

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2016 Home    L   148.46  21  22   1A  20 ( 13-  0) Western Michigan        1.22     -2.22                      
  2 09/10/2016 Home    L   123.20   7   9   1B  12 (  6-  6) Illinois St           -24.03     22.03                      
  3 09/17/2016 Home    W   147.36  24  13   1A  71 (  4-  8) Duke                    0.12     10.88                      
  4 09/24/2016 Home    L * 131.21  13  24   1A  47 (  9-  4) Nebraska              -16.02      5.02                      
  5 10/01/2016 Away    W * 157.39  38  31   1A  28 (  8-  5) Iowa                   10.16     -3.16                      
  6 10/15/2016 Away    W * 156.91  54  40   1A  57 (  3-  9) Michigan St             9.68      4.32                      
  7 10/22/2016 Home    W * 147.91  24  14   1A  72 (  6-  7) Indiana                 0.68      9.32                      
  8 10/29/2016 Away    L * 167.85  20  24   1A   3 ( 11-  2) Ohio State             20.62    -24.62                      
  9 11/05/2016 Home    L * 142.38   7  21   1A   6 ( 10-  3) Wisconsin              -4.85     -9.15                      
 10 11/12/2016 Away    W * 154.46  45  17   1A 106 (  3-  9) Purdue                  7.23     20.77                      
 11 11/19/2016 Away    L * 131.07  12  29   1A  38 (  9-  4) Minnesota             -16.16     -0.84                      
 12 11/26/2016 Home    W * 149.14  42  21   1A  91 (  3-  9) Illinois                1.91     19.09                      
 13 12/28/2016 Neutral W   156.68  31  24   1A  21 (  8-  5) Pittsburgh              9.45     -2.45                      
      Averages             147.23  26.0 22.2

Best game:  167.85 = 4 point loss to Ohio State
Worst game: 123.20 = 2 point loss to Illinois St
Team stdev:  12.54