BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northwestern
Class: 1A Class Rank: 32 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-4) Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength = 147.23
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Home L 148.46 21 22 1A 20 ( 13- 0) Western Michigan 1.22 -2.22
2 09/10/2016 Home L 123.20 7 9 1B 12 ( 6- 6) Illinois St -24.03 22.03
3 09/17/2016 Home W 147.36 24 13 1A 71 ( 4- 8) Duke 0.12 10.88
4 09/24/2016 Home L * 131.21 13 24 1A 47 ( 9- 4) Nebraska -16.02 5.02
5 10/01/2016 Away W * 157.39 38 31 1A 28 ( 8- 5) Iowa 10.16 -3.16
6 10/15/2016 Away W * 156.91 54 40 1A 57 ( 3- 9) Michigan St 9.68 4.32
7 10/22/2016 Home W * 147.91 24 14 1A 72 ( 6- 7) Indiana 0.68 9.32
8 10/29/2016 Away L * 167.85 20 24 1A 3 ( 11- 2) Ohio State 20.62 -24.62
9 11/05/2016 Home L * 142.38 7 21 1A 6 ( 10- 3) Wisconsin -4.85 -9.15
10 11/12/2016 Away W * 154.46 45 17 1A 106 ( 3- 9) Purdue 7.23 20.77
11 11/19/2016 Away L * 131.07 12 29 1A 38 ( 9- 4) Minnesota -16.16 -0.84
12 11/26/2016 Home W * 149.14 42 21 1A 91 ( 3- 9) Illinois 1.91 19.09
13 12/28/2016 Neutral W 156.68 31 24 1A 21 ( 8- 5) Pittsburgh 9.45 -2.45
Averages 147.23 26.0 22.2
Best game: 167.85 = 4 point loss to Ohio State
Worst game: 123.20 = 2 point loss to Illinois St
Team stdev: 12.54