BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 91 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (2-7) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =  129.07

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2016 Home    W   152.61  52   3   1B  75 (  4-  7) Murray St              22.75     26.25                      
  2 09/10/2016 Home    L   124.27  23  48   1A  22 (  8-  5) North Carolina         -5.60    -19.40                      
  3 09/17/2016 Home    L   125.46  10  34   1A  20 ( 13-  0) Western Michigan       -4.41    -19.59                      
  4 10/01/2016 Away    L * 130.66  16  31   1A  47 (  9-  4) Nebraska                0.80    -15.80                      
  5 10/08/2016 Home    L * 120.02  31  34   1A 106 (  3-  9) Purdue                 -9.85      6.85                      
  6 10/15/2016 Away    W * 139.91  24   7   1A 103 (  2- 10) Rutgers                10.04      6.96                      
  7 10/22/2016 Away    L * 138.62   8  41   1A   4 ( 10-  3) Michigan                8.76 *  -41.76                      
  8 10/29/2016 Home    L * 121.62  17  40   1A  38 (  9-  4) Minnesota              -8.24    -14.76                      
  9 11/05/2016 Home    W * 143.47  31  27   1A  57 (  3-  9) Michigan St            13.60     -9.60                      
 10 11/12/2016 Away    L * 114.83   3  48   1A   6 ( 10-  3) Wisconsin             -15.03    -29.97                      
 11 11/19/2016 Home    L * 118.94   0  28   1A  28 (  8-  5) Iowa                  -10.92    -17.08                      
 12 11/26/2016 Away    L * 127.96  21  42   1A  32 (  7-  6) Northwestern           -1.91    -19.09                      
      Averages             129.86  19.7 31.9

Best game:  152.61 = 49 point win over Murray St
Worst game: 114.83 = 45 point loss to Wisconsin
Team stdev:  11.46