BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Michigan
Class: 1A Class Rank: 4 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (10-3) Overall Strength = 164.82
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Home W 181.84 63 3 1A 108 ( 7- 7) Hawaii 11.95 * 48.05
2 09/10/2016 Home W 174.93 51 14 1A 59 ( 6- 7) Central Florida 5.03 * 31.97
3 09/17/2016 Home W 169.07 45 28 1A 17 ( 10- 4) Colorado -0.83 17.83
4 09/24/2016 Home W * 194.27 49 10 1A 10 ( 11- 3) Penn State 24.37 14.63
5 10/01/2016 Home W * 163.38 14 7 1A 6 ( 10- 3) Wisconsin -6.52 13.52
6 10/08/2016 Away W * 200.91 78 0 1A 103 ( 2- 10) Rutgers 31.01 * 46.99
7 10/22/2016 Home W * 161.14 41 8 1A 91 ( 3- 9) Illinois -8.76 * 41.76
8 10/29/2016 Away W * 151.91 32 23 1A 57 ( 3- 9) Michigan St -17.99 26.99
9 11/05/2016 Home W * 188.19 59 3 1A 62 ( 6- 7) Maryland 18.29 * 37.71
10 11/12/2016 Away L * 149.39 13 14 1A 28 ( 8- 5) Iowa -20.51 19.51
11 11/19/2016 Home W * 147.91 20 10 1A 72 ( 6- 7) Indiana -21.99 * 31.99
12 11/26/2016 Away L * 168.85 27 30 1A 3 ( 11- 2) Ohio State -1.05 -1.95
13 12/30/2016 Neutral L 156.87 32 33 1A 13 ( 10- 3) Florida St -13.03 12.03
Averages 169.90 40.3 14.1
Best game: 200.91 = 78 point win over Rutgers
Worst game: 147.91 = 10 point win over Indiana
Team stdev: 17.26