BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Hawaii

Class: 1A Class Rank: 108 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (7-7) Overall Strength =  124.49

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2016 Neutral L   119.38  31  51   1A  63 (  5-  7) California             -4.19    -15.81                      
  2 09/03/2016 Away    L   111.62   3  63   1A   4 ( 10-  3) Michigan              -11.95 *  -48.05                      
  3 09/10/2016 Home    W   120.37  41  36   1B  35 (  7-  5) Tennessee-Martin       -3.20      8.20                      
  4 09/17/2016 Away    L   113.17  28  47   1A  96 (  3-  9) Arizona               -10.40     -8.60                      
  5 10/01/2016 Home    W * 143.86  38  17   1A 105 (  5-  7) Nevada                 20.29      0.71                      
  6 10/08/2016 Away    W * 141.67  34  17   1A 110 (  4-  8) San Jose St            18.10     -1.10                      
  7 10/15/2016 Home    L * 118.46  38  41   1A 111 (  4-  8) UNLV                   -5.11      2.11                      
  8 10/22/2016 Away    W * 146.66  34  27   1A  61 ( 10-  3) Air Force              23.09    -16.09                      
  9 10/29/2016 Home    L * 124.40  21  28   1A  81 (  9-  4) New Mexico              0.84     -7.84                      
 10 11/05/2016 Away    L *  91.83   0  55   1A  45 ( 11-  3) San Diego St          -31.74    -23.26                      
 11 11/12/2016 Home    L * 107.85  16  52   1A  42 ( 10-  3) Boise St              -15.71    -20.29                      
 12 11/19/2016 Away    W * 120.95  14  13   1A 119 (  1- 11) Fresno St              -2.62      3.62                      
 13 11/26/2016 Home    W   125.84  46  40   1A 113 (  2- 10) Massachusetts           2.27      3.73                      
 14 12/24/2016 Home    W   143.87  52  35   1A  97 (  8-  5) Middle Tennessee St    20.30     -3.30                      
      Averages             123.57  28.3 37.3

Best game:  146.66 = 7 point win over Air Force
Worst game:  91.83 = 55 point loss to San Diego St
Team stdev:  15.83