BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 71 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength = 137.49
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Home W 144.57 49 6 1B 79 ( 9- 3) North Carolina Centr 6.49 * 36.51
2 09/10/2016 Home L * 127.07 14 24 1A 68 ( 7- 6) Wake Forest -11.01 1.01
3 09/17/2016 Away L 137.96 13 24 1A 32 ( 7- 6) Northwestern -0.12 -10.88
4 09/24/2016 Away W 150.79 38 35 1A 40 ( 4- 8) Notre Dame 12.71 -9.71
5 10/01/2016 Home L * 114.78 20 34 1A 90 ( 2- 10) Virginia -23.30 9.30
6 10/08/2016 Home W 139.88 13 6 1A 82 ( 8- 5) Army 1.80 5.20
7 10/14/2016 Away L * 150.85 14 24 1A 8 ( 9- 4) Louisville 12.77 -22.77
8 10/29/2016 Away L * 144.02 35 38 1A 43 ( 9- 4) Georgia Tech 5.94 -8.94
9 11/05/2016 Home L * 149.24 21 24 1A 15 ( 10- 4) Virginia Tech 11.17 -14.17
10 11/10/2016 Home W * 150.27 28 27 1A 22 ( 8- 5) North Carolina 12.19 -11.19
11 11/19/2016 Away L * 109.40 14 56 1A 21 ( 8- 5) Pittsburgh -28.68 -13.32
12 11/26/2016 Away L * 138.12 21 40 1A 14 ( 9- 4) Miami FL 0.04 -19.04
Averages 138.08 23.3 28.2
Best game: 150.85 = 10 point loss to Louisville
Worst game: 109.40 = 42 point loss to Pittsburgh
Team stdev: 14.03