BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Virginia

Class: 1A Class Rank: 90 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (2-10) Overall Strength =  130.50

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2016 Home    L   103.67  20  37   1B  21 ( 10-  4) Richmond              -26.84      9.84                      
  2 09/10/2016 Away    L   121.65  26  44   1A  69 (  4-  8) Oregon                 -8.86     -9.14                      
  3 09/17/2016 Away    L   120.79  10  13   1A 112 (  3-  9) Connecticut            -9.71      6.71                      
  4 09/24/2016 Home    W   139.62  49  35   1A 101 (  6-  7) Central Michigan        9.11      4.89                      
  5 10/01/2016 Away    W * 153.80  34  20   1A  71 (  4-  8) Duke                   23.30     -9.30                      
  6 10/15/2016 Home    L * 133.96  31  45   1A  21 (  8-  5) Pittsburgh              3.45    -17.45                      
  7 10/22/2016 Home    L * 128.27  14  35   1A  22 (  8-  5) North Carolina         -2.24    -18.76                      
  8 10/29/2016 Home    L * 150.40  25  32   1A   8 (  9-  4) Louisville             19.90    -26.90                      
  9 11/05/2016 Away    L * 133.51  20  27   1A  68 (  7-  6) Wake Forest             3.01    -10.01                      
 10 11/12/2016 Home    L * 133.67  14  34   1A  14 (  9-  4) Miami FL                3.17    -23.17                      
 11 11/19/2016 Away    L * 133.02  17  31   1A  43 (  9-  4) Georgia Tech            2.52    -16.52                      
 12 11/26/2016 Away    L * 113.69  10  52   1A  15 ( 10-  4) Virginia Tech         -16.81    -25.19                      
      Averages             130.50  22.5 33.8

Best game:  153.80 = 14 point win over Duke
Worst game: 103.67 = 17 point loss to Richmond
Team stdev:  14.27