BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Louisville

Class: 1 Class Rank: 24 Overall: (24-10) Overall Strength =   54.82
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (13-7) | District: 1-01 Record: (17-8)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-06-2023 Away    W    60.73  77  59    1  87 ( 14- 18) Cincinnati              5.91     12.09                      
  2 11-12-2023 Home    W    42.47  81  74    1 100 ( 12- 20) DePaul                -12.35     19.35                      
  3 11-16-2023 Home    W    91.74 111  33    1 307 ( 10- 19) Bellarmine             36.92 *   41.08                      
  4 11-19-2023 Home    W    49.95  77  44    1 271 ( 13- 18) Bucknell               -4.87 *   37.87                      
  5 11-24-2023 Neutral L    47.18  73  78    1  31 ( 24- 10) Alabama                -7.64      2.64                      
  6 11-25-2023 Neutral W    42.20  72  63    1 136 ( 18- 16) Liberty               -12.62     21.62                      
  7 11-26-2023 Neutral W    68.28  81  70    1  20 ( 32-  4) Gonzaga                13.46     -2.46                      
  8 11-29-2023 Away    W    60.57  64  58    1  33 ( 24-  9) Mississippi             5.76      0.24                      
  9 12-03-2023 Home    W    68.18  80  40    1 159 ( 22- 12) NC A&T                 13.36     26.64                      
 10 12-10-2023 Home    W    43.73  73  61    1 129 ( 12- 20) Kentucky              -11.09     23.09                      
 11 12-13-2023 Home    W    45.83  74  48    1 245 ( 15- 15) Morehead St            -8.98 *   34.98                      
 12 12-16-2023 Away    L    46.76  62  86    1   2 ( 33-  6) Connecticut            -8.06    -15.94                      
 13 12-20-2023 Home    W    54.14  59  51    1  47 ( 16- 15) Washington             -0.68      8.68                      
 14 12-31-2023 Away    W *  55.11  77  72    1  51 ( 19- 12) Miami FL                0.30      4.70                      
 15 01-04-2024 Home    W *  72.26  61  44    1  17 ( 22- 12) Duke                   17.45     -0.45                      
 16 01-11-2024 Away    W *  65.31  74  44    1 144 (  8- 24) Pittsburgh             10.49     19.51                      
 17 01-14-2024 Home    W *  54.69  83  62    1 115 (  7- 25) Wake Forest            -0.13     21.13                      
 18 01-18-2024 Away    W *  60.48  81  64    1  80 ( 12- 19) Clemson                 5.67     11.33                      
 19 01-21-2024 Away    L *  42.72  68  79    1  36 ( 20- 13) North Carolina        -12.09      1.09                      
 20 01-25-2024 Home    W *  67.73  88  60    1  74 ( 14- 19) Boston College         12.91     15.09                      
 21 01-28-2024 Home    W *  49.01  77  58    1 144 (  8- 24) Pittsburgh             -5.80     24.80                      
 22 02-01-2024 Home    W *  59.41  81  69    1  41 ( 24-  8) Syracuse                4.59      7.41                      
 23 02-05-2024 Away    L *  53.13  67  77    1  10 ( 31-  7) NC State               -1.69     -8.31                      
 24 02-08-2024 Home    W *  66.84  73  66    1   8 ( 28-  7) Notre Dame             12.02     -5.02                      
 25 02-11-2024 Away    L *  51.70  72  73    1  41 ( 24-  8) Syracuse               -3.12      2.12                      
 26 02-15-2024 Away    W *  47.02  69  67    1  74 ( 14- 19) Boston College         -7.80      9.80                      
 27 02-18-2024 Home    L *  38.34  70  86    1  21 ( 25-  8) Virginia Tech         -16.48      0.48                      
 28 02-22-2024 Away    W *  63.64  80  62    1  69 ( 17- 16) Georgia Tech            8.82      9.18                      
 29 02-25-2024 Home    L *  38.03  68  73    1  56 ( 16- 16) Virginia              -16.79     11.79                      
 30 02-29-2024 Home    W *  62.38  70  55    1  42 ( 23- 11) Florida St              7.56      7.44                      
 31 03-03-2024 Away    L *  49.13  58  74    1   8 ( 28-  7) Notre Dame             -5.69    -10.31                      
 32 03-07-2024 Neutral W *  45.37  58  55    1  74 ( 14- 19) Boston College         -9.44     12.44                      
 33 03-08-2024 Neutral L *  53.48  68  77    1   8 ( 28-  7) Notre Dame             -1.34     -7.66                      
 34 03-22-2024 Neutral L    46.25  69  71    1  48 ( 30-  5) Middle Tennessee St    -8.57      6.57                      
      Averages              54.82  73.4 63.3

Best game:   91.74 = 78 point win over Bellarmine
Worst game:  38.03 = 5 point loss to Virginia
Team stdev:  11.51