BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1 Class Rank: 17 Overall: (22-12) Overall Strength = 57.91
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (12-8) | District: 1-01 Record: (15-10)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-06-2023 Home W 72.72 83 53 1 59 ( 29- 6) Richmond 14.80 15.20
2 11-09-2023 Home W 69.29 88 42 1 217 ( 12- 21) Coastal Car 11.38 * 34.62
3 11-14-2023 Away W 52.01 66 62 1 58 ( 23- 7) Columbia -5.90 9.90
4 11-16-2023 Home L 29.94 62 69 1 93 ( 18- 8) Davidson -27.97 20.97
5 11-19-2023 Away L 63.46 79 82 1 1 7 ( 30- 6) Stanford 5.55 -8.55
6 11-26-2023 Home W 59.63 93 45 1 329 ( 16- 15) NC Central 1.72 * 46.28
7 11-30-2023 Away W 49.35 72 65 1 1 90 ( 12- 18) Georgia -8.56 15.56
8 12-03-2023 Home L 56.84 61 77 1 1 ( 38- 0) South Carolina -1.07 -14.93
9 12-07-2023 Away L * 27.48 64 80 1 80 ( 12- 19) Clemson -30.43 14.43
10 12-10-2023 Home W 61.64 82 63 1 60 ( 29- 5) Florida Gulf Coast 3.73 15.27
11 12-20-2023 Home W 65.11 70 45 1 71 ( 28- 6) Toledo 7.20 17.80
12 12-28-2023 Home W 52.59 68 34 1 257 ( 12- 18) Coppin St -5.32 * 39.32
13 12-31-2023 Home W * 44.73 80 75 1 74 ( 14- 19) Boston College -13.18 18.18
14 01-04-2024 Away L * 40.46 44 61 1 24 ( 24- 10) Louisville -17.45 0.45
15 01-07-2024 Away W * 52.32 60 56 1 56 ( 16- 16) Virginia -5.59 9.59
16 01-14-2024 Home W * 78.35 84 46 1 69 ( 17- 16) Georgia Tech 20.44 17.56
17 01-18-2024 Home W * 71.34 63 46 1 21 ( 25- 8) Virginia Tech 13.43 3.57
18 01-21-2024 Away L * 48.13 57 72 1 10 ( 31- 7) NC State -9.78 -5.22
19 01-25-2024 Home W * 89.38 88 46 1 42 ( 23- 11) Florida St 31.47 10.53
20 01-28-2024 Away L * 44.11 58 64 1 51 ( 19- 12) Miami FL -13.80 7.80
21 02-01-2024 Away W * 66.31 69 38 1 144 ( 8- 24) Pittsburgh 8.40 22.60
22 02-08-2024 Home W * 56.69 69 46 1 115 ( 7- 25) Wake Forest -1.22 24.22
23 02-11-2024 Home W * 56.43 68 60 1 1 36 ( 20- 13) North Carolina -1.48 9.48
24 02-15-2024 Away L * 54.63 56 61 1 21 ( 25- 8) Virginia Tech -3.28 -1.72
25 02-19-2024 Home L * 51.84 62 70 1 8 ( 28- 7) Notre Dame -6.08 -1.92
26 02-22-2024 Away W * 65.70 58 45 1 41 ( 24- 8) Syracuse 7.79 5.21
27 02-25-2024 Home W * 68.84 69 58 1 10 ( 31- 7) NC State 10.93 0.07
28 02-29-2024 Home W * 62.03 73 54 1 56 ( 16- 16) Virginia 4.12 14.88
29 03-03-2024 Away L * 49.72 59 63 1 36 ( 20- 13) North Carolina -8.19 4.19
30 03-07-2024 Neutral W * 55.00 70 58 1 69 ( 17- 16) Georgia Tech -2.92 14.92
31 03-08-2024 Neutral L * 57.48 51 54 1 10 ( 31- 7) NC State -0.43 -2.57
32 03-22-2024 Neutral W 56.36 72 61 1 59 ( 29- 6) Richmond -1.55 12.55
33 03-24-2024 Away W 76.31 75 63 1 9 ( 26- 6) Ohio St 18.40 -6.40
34 03-30-2024 Away L 62.76 45 53 1 2 ( 33- 6) Connecticut 4.84 -12.84
Averages 57.91 68.2 57.9
Best game: 89.38 = 42 point win over Florida St
Worst game: 27.48 = 16 point loss to Clemson
Team stdev: 12.84