BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Valparaiso
Class: 1 Class Rank: 161 Overall: (18-15) Overall Strength = 26.56
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (12-10) | District: 1-02 Record: (17-13)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2025 Home W * 14.77 66 63 1 318 (13-20) E Illinois -11.62 14.62
2 11-07-2025 Away L -0.56 59 107 1 26 (22-14) Kentucky -26.95 -21.05
3 11-12-2025 Home W * 23.60 68 63 1 242 (14-19) Nicholls St -2.79 7.79
4 11-16-2025 Home W * 25.92 68 50 1 347 ( 9-22) Bryant -0.47 18.47
5 11-19-2025 Away W * 32.91 90 75 1 314 (11-22) Cleveland St 6.52 8.48
6 11-26-2025 Home L * 1.18 56 64 1 338 ( 7-23) Southern Indiana -25.21 17.21
7 11-29-2025 Home W * 45.26 84 55 1 264 (10-21) Western Michigan 18.87 10.13
8 12-02-2025 Away L * 34.37 72 75 1 1 83 (12-20) Marquette 7.98 -10.98
9 12-06-2025 Home W 21.01 98 58 ZZ 200 ( 0- 2) Calumet-St Jos -5.38 * 45.38
10 12-13-2025 Home L * 23.70 70 73 1 125 (27- 7) UNC Wilmington -2.69 -0.31
11 12-16-2025 Away L 24.70 70 86 1 58 (15-19) Northwestern -1.69 -14.31
12 12-21-2025 Home L * * 21.52 79 85 1 124 (20-13) Murray St -4.87 -1.13
13 12-29-2025 Away L * * 27.54 48 58 1 85 (23-13) Northern Iowa 1.15 -11.15
14 01-01-2026 Away L * * 27.66 70 75 1 120 (16-16) S Illinois 1.27 -6.27
15 01-04-2026 Home W * * 34.95 66 59 1 110 (19-16) IL Chicago 8.56 -1.56
16 01-07-2026 Home W * * 37.15 77 71 1 89 (23-12) Illinois St 10.76 -4.76
17 01-10-2026 Away L * * 19.92 79 92 1 124 (20-13) Murray St -6.47 -6.53
18 01-13-2026 Away L * * 34.14 74 78 1 69 (26- 6) Belmont 7.75 -11.75
19 01-17-2026 Home W * * 42.14 54 44 1 85 (23-13) Northern Iowa 15.75 -5.75
20 01-21-2026 Home W * * 33.25 69 63 1 120 (16-16) S Illinois 6.86 -0.86
21 01-28-2026 Home L * * 31.74 77 78 1 69 (26- 6) Belmont 5.35 -6.35
22 01-31-2026 Away W * * 30.82 76 72 1 1 193 (11-21) Indiana St 4.43 -0.43
23 02-03-2026 Away L * * 25.56 65 72 1 122 (21-13) Bradley -0.83 -6.17
24 02-06-2026 Home W * * 21.92 70 63 1 1 290 ( 7-25) Evansville -4.47 11.47
25 02-09-2026 Away W * * 33.17 81 76 1 177 (14-20) Drake 6.78 -1.78
26 02-12-2026 Away L * * 14.56 64 86 1 89 (23-12) Illinois St -11.83 -10.17
27 02-15-2026 Home W * * 22.41 76 75 1 193 (11-21) Indiana St -3.98 4.98
28 02-18-2026 Home W * * 34.15 79 72 1 122 (21-13) Bradley 7.76 -0.76
29 02-21-2026 Away W * * 37.35 71 67 1 110 (19-16) IL Chicago 10.96 -6.96
30 02-25-2026 Home W * * 25.76 74 71 1 177 (14-20) Drake -0.63 3.63
31 02-28-2026 Away L * * 19.32 79 80 1 290 ( 7-25) Evansville -7.06 6.06
32 03-05-2026 Neutral W * * 25.11 63 62 1 193 (11-21) Indiana St -1.28 2.28
33 03-06-2026 Neutral L * * 23.86 84 90 2 1 122 (21-13) Bradley -2.53 -3.47
Averages 26.39 72.0 71.5
Best game: 45.26 = 29 point win over W Michigan
Worst game: -0.56 = 48 point loss to Kentucky
Team stdev: 9.89