BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Valparaiso
Class: 1 Class Rank: 158 Overall: (17-14) Overall Strength = 26.52
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (11-9) | District: 1-02 Record: (16-12)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2025 Home W * 14.16 66 63 1 319 (12-19) E Illinois -12.18 15.18
2 11-07-2025 Away L -0.18 59 107 1 23 (19-11) Kentucky -26.52 -21.48
3 11-12-2025 Home W * 23.43 68 63 1 241 (13-18) Nicholls St -2.91 7.91
4 11-16-2025 Home W * 25.88 68 50 1 348 ( 9-21) Bryant -0.46 18.46
5 11-19-2025 Away W * 33.06 90 75 1 313 (11-22) Cleveland St 6.73 8.27
6 11-26-2025 Home L * 1.10 56 64 1 335 ( 7-23) Southern Indiana -25.24 17.24
7 11-29-2025 Home W * 44.95 84 55 1 264 (10-20) Western Michigan 18.61 10.39
8 12-02-2025 Away L * 32.56 72 75 1 1 95 (10-19) Marquette 6.22 -9.22
9 12-06-2025 Home W 20.81 98 58 ZZ 201 ( 0- 2) Calumet-St Jos -5.53 * 45.53
10 12-13-2025 Home L * 24.52 70 73 1 111 (26- 5) UNC Wilmington -1.82 -1.18
11 12-16-2025 Away L 23.65 70 86 1 66 (13-16) Northwestern -2.69 -13.31
12 12-21-2025 Home L * * 22.03 79 85 1 113 (20-11) Murray St -4.31 -1.69
13 12-29-2025 Away L * * 27.03 48 58 1 83 (19-12) Northern Iowa 0.69 -10.69
14 01-01-2026 Away L * * 27.88 70 75 1 114 (16-15) S Illinois 1.54 -6.54
15 01-04-2026 Home W * * 34.44 66 59 1 117 (17-14) IL Chicago 8.10 -1.10
16 01-07-2026 Home W * * 36.68 77 71 1 90 (20-11) Illinois St 10.34 -4.34
17 01-10-2026 Away L * * 20.46 79 92 1 113 (20-11) Murray St -5.88 -7.12
18 01-13-2026 Away L * * 34.94 74 78 1 67 (26- 5) Belmont 8.61 -12.61
19 01-17-2026 Home W * * 41.60 54 44 1 83 (19-12) Northern Iowa 15.27 -5.27
20 01-21-2026 Home W * * 33.45 69 63 1 114 (16-15) S Illinois 7.11 -1.11
21 01-28-2026 Home L * * 32.52 77 78 1 67 (26- 5) Belmont 6.18 -7.18
22 01-31-2026 Away W * * 30.58 76 72 1 1 193 (11-20) Indiana St 4.24 -0.24
23 02-03-2026 Away L * * 25.74 65 72 1 118 (20-11) Bradley -0.60 -6.40
24 02-06-2026 Home W * * 21.56 70 63 1 1 292 ( 7-24) Evansville -4.78 11.78
25 02-09-2026 Away W * * 32.32 81 76 1 185 (12-19) Drake 5.98 -0.98
26 02-12-2026 Away L * * 14.10 64 86 1 90 (20-11) Illinois St -12.23 -9.77
27 02-15-2026 Home W * * 22.16 76 75 1 193 (11-20) Indiana St -4.18 5.18
28 02-18-2026 Home W * * 34.31 79 72 1 118 (20-11) Bradley 7.97 -0.97
29 02-21-2026 Away W * * 36.87 71 67 1 117 (17-14) IL Chicago 10.53 -6.53
30 02-25-2026 Home W * * 24.89 74 71 1 185 (12-19) Drake -1.45 4.45
31 02-28-2026 Away L * * 18.99 79 80 1 292 ( 7-24) Evansville -7.35 6.35
32 03/05/2026 Neutral * * 1 193 (11-20) Indiana St 2.51
Averages 26.34 71.9 71.2
Best game: 44.95 = 29 point win over W Michigan
Worst game: -0.18 = 48 point loss to Kentucky
Team stdev: 10.11