BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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UCF
Class: 1 Class Rank: 56 Overall: (21-12) Overall Strength = 38.36
Conference: Big 12 Record: (10-10) | District: 1-01 Record: (12-12)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 33.50 82 78 1 101 (24-11) Hofstra -4.90 8.90
2 11-08-2025 Home L * 33.49 93 105 1 13 (27- 9) Vanderbilt -4.91 -7.09
3 11-11-2025 Home W 48.61 97 60 1 319 (15-16) Florida A&M 10.22 * 26.78
4 11-14-2025 Away W * 56.63 86 74 1 44 (22-12) Texas A&M 18.23 -6.23
5 11-17-2025 Home W 28.23 87 83 1 162 (16-16) Oakland -10.16 14.16
6 11-20-2025 Neutral W * 43.51 77 67 1 95 (13-20) Pittsburgh 5.12 4.88
7 11-25-2025 Home W 30.76 102 91 1 220 (19-13) Qunnipiac -7.64 18.64
8 11-29-2025 Home W 29.11 82 57 1 354 ( 6-26) VMI -9.28 * 34.28
9 12-07-2025 Home W 49.02 86 61 1 167 (19-15) Towson 10.63 14.37
10 12-17-2025 Home W 39.94 81 63 1 185 (19-13) Mercer 1.55 16.45
11 12-20-2025 Home W 40.36 102 80 1 236 (16-18) Florida Gulf Coast 1.96 20.04
12 12-23-2025 Neutral W 34.54 85 80 1 119 (18-15) Florida Atlantic -3.86 8.86
13 01-03-2026 Home W * * 49.16 81 75 1 21 (24-11) Kansas 10.77 -4.77
14 01-06-2026 Away L * * 27.53 76 87 1 66 (20-15) Oklahoma St -10.87 -0.13
15 01-11-2026 Home W * * 38.92 73 72 1 43 (18-15) Cincinnati 0.53 0.47
16 01-14-2026 Away W * * 45.31 82 73 1 90 (12-20) Kansas St 6.92 2.08
17 01-17-2026 Home L * * 45.65 77 84 1 3 (36- 3) Arizona 7.25 -14.25
18 01-20-2026 Away L * * 24.87 57 87 1 6 (29- 8) Iowa St -13.52 -16.48
19 01-24-2026 Away W * * 47.55 95 86 1 74 (17-16) Colorado 9.16 -0.16
20 01-27-2026 Home W * * 36.26 79 76 1 69 (17-16) Arizona St -2.13 5.13
21 01-31-2026 Home W * * 51.86 88 80 1 20 (23-11) Texas Tech 13.46 -5.46
22 02-04-2026 Away L * * 30.40 55 79 1 5 (30- 7) Houston -8.00 -16.00
23 02-08-2026 Away L * * 23.33 72 92 1 43 (18-15) Cincinnati -15.07 -4.93
24 02-14-2026 Home L * * 28.92 67 74 1 54 (21-14) West Virginia -9.48 2.48
25 02-17-2026 Home W * * 48.95 82 71 1 46 (23-12) TCU 10.55 0.45
26 02-21-2026 Away W * * 35.98 73 71 1 106 (10-22) Utah -2.42 4.42
27 02-24-2026 Away W * * 61.54 97 84 1 22 (23-12) BYU 23.14 -10.14
28 02-28-2026 Home L * * 36.65 86 87 1 47 (17-17) Baylor -1.75 0.75
29 03-03-2026 Home L * * 26.12 104 111 1 1 66 (20-15) Oklahoma St -12.27 5.27
30 03-06-2026 Away L * * 26.32 62 77 1 54 (21-14) West Virginia -12.07 -2.93
31 03-11-2026 Neutral W * * 41.62 66 65 1 1 43 (18-15) Cincinnati 3.23 -2.23
32 03-12-2026 Neutral L * * 33.35 59 81 1 3 (36- 3) Arizona -5.05 -16.95
33 03-20-2026 Neutral L * 39.03 71 75 1 29 (24-12) UCLA 0.64 -4.64
Averages 38.39 80.7 78.4
Best game: 61.54 = 13 point win over BYU
Worst game: 23.33 = 20 point loss to Cincinnati
Team stdev: 9.76