BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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UCF

Class: 1 Class Rank: 55 Overall: (21-12) Overall Strength =   38.36
Conference: Big 12 Record: (10-10) | District: 1-01 Record: (12-12)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    W      33.51  82  78    1 101 (24-11) Hofstra                -4.88      8.88                      
 2 11-08-2025 Home    L   *  33.47  93 105    1  13 (27- 9) Vanderbilt             -4.92     -7.08                      
 3 11-11-2025 Home    W      48.64  97  60    1 319 (15-16) Florida A&M            10.24 *   26.76                      
 4 11-14-2025 Away    W   *  56.61  86  74    1  45 (22-12) Texas A&M              18.21     -6.21                      
 5 11-17-2025 Home    W      28.26  87  83    1 163 (16-16) Oakland               -10.14     14.14                      
 6 11-20-2025 Neutral W   *  43.51  77  67    1  95 (13-20) Pittsburgh              5.11      4.89                      
 7 11-25-2025 Home    W      30.77 102  91    1 221 (19-13) Qunnipiac              -7.63     18.63                      
 8 11-29-2025 Home    W      29.13  82  57    1 354 ( 6-26) VMI                    -9.26 *   34.26                      
 9 12-07-2025 Home    W      49.04  86  61    1 167 (19-15) Towson                 10.65     14.35                      
10 12-17-2025 Home    W      39.96  81  63    1 186 (19-13) Mercer                  1.56     16.44                      
11 12-20-2025 Home    W      40.40 102  80    1 236 (16-18) Florida Gulf Coast      2.00     20.00                      
12 12-23-2025 Neutral W      34.55  85  80    1 119 (18-15) Florida Atlantic       -3.84      8.84                      
13 01-03-2026 Home    W * *  49.18  81  75    1  21 (24-11) Kansas                 10.78     -4.78                      
14 01-06-2026 Away    L * *  27.55  76  87    1  66 (20-15) Oklahoma St           -10.85     -0.15                      
15 01-11-2026 Home    W * *  38.91  73  72    1  43 (18-15) Cincinnati              0.52      0.48                      
16 01-14-2026 Away    W * *  45.31  82  73    1  91 (12-20) Kansas St               6.91      2.09                      
17 01-17-2026 Home    L * *  46.03  77  84    1   3 (36- 2) Arizona                 7.64    -14.64                      
18 01-20-2026 Away    L * *  24.92  57  87    1   6 (29- 8) Iowa St               -13.48    -16.52                      
19 01-24-2026 Away    W * *  47.58  95  86    1  74 (17-16) Colorado                9.19     -0.19                      
20 01-27-2026 Home    W * *  36.30  79  76    1  70 (17-16) Arizona St             -2.09      5.09                      
21 01-31-2026 Home    W * *  51.89  88  80    1  20 (23-11) Texas Tech             13.49     -5.49                      
22 02-04-2026 Away    L * *  30.43  55  79    1   5 (30- 7) Houston                -7.96    -16.04                      
23 02-08-2026 Away    L * *  23.32  72  92    1  43 (18-15) Cincinnati            -15.08     -4.92                      
24 02-14-2026 Home    L * *  28.11  67  74    1  57 (18-14) West Virginia         -10.29      3.29                      
25 02-17-2026 Home    W * *  48.97  82  71    1  46 (23-12) TCU                    10.57      0.43                      
26 02-21-2026 Away    W * *  36.00  73  71    1 106 (10-22) Utah                   -2.39      4.39                      
27 02-24-2026 Away    W * *  61.53  97  84    1  22 (23-12) BYU                    23.14    -10.14                      
28 02-28-2026 Home    L * *  37.06  86  87    1  47 (17-16) Baylor                 -1.34      0.34                      
29 03-03-2026 Home    L * *  26.14 104 111 1  1  66 (20-15) Oklahoma St           -12.25      5.25                      
30 03-06-2026 Away    L * *  25.51  62  77    1  57 (18-14) West Virginia         -12.88     -2.12                      
31 03-11-2026 Neutral W * *  41.61  66  65 1  1  43 (18-15) Cincinnati              3.22     -2.22                      
32 03-12-2026 Neutral L * *  33.73  59  81    1   3 (36- 2) Arizona                -4.66    -17.34                      
33 03-20-2026 Neutral L   *  39.08  71  75    1  29 (24-12) UCLA                    0.69     -4.69                      
      Averages              38.39  80.7 78.4

Best game:   61.53 = 13 point win over BYU
Worst game:  23.32 = 20 point loss to Cincinnati
Team stdev:   9.82