BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1 Class Rank: 1 Overall: (35-4) Overall Strength = 63.54
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (22-1) | District: 1-01 Record: (27-4)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2024 Home W 59.17 96 62 1 228 (20-14) Maine -2.59 * 36.59
2 11-08-2024 Home W 60.81 100 58 1 317 (17-16) Army -0.95 * 42.95
3 11-12-2024 Neutral L * 47.24 72 77 1 17 (24-12) Kentucky -14.52 9.52
4 11-16-2024 Home W 81.87 86 35 1 127 (19-16) Wofford 20.11 * 30.89
5 11-22-2024 Away W * 70.95 69 55 1 14 (24-13) Arizona 9.19 4.81
6 11-26-2024 Neutral L * 48.06 72 75 1 20 (21-13) Kansas -13.70 10.70
7 11-29-2024 Home W 51.91 70 48 1 146 (14-18) Seattle -9.85 * 31.85
8 12-04-2024 Home W * 62.77 84 78 1 3 (32- 6) Auburn 1.01 4.99
9 12-08-2024 Away W * * 63.43 76 65 1 31 (27- 8) Louisville 1.66 9.34
10 12-10-2024 Home W 50.85 72 46 1 236 (18-17) Incarnate Word -10.91 * 36.91
11 12-17-2024 Home W 56.98 68 47 1 88 (27- 9) George Mason -4.78 * 25.78
12 12-21-2024 Away W * * 66.35 82 56 1 99 (17-17) Georgia Tech 4.59 21.41
13 12-31-2024 Home W * * 53.55 88 65 1 140 (13-19) Virginia Tech -8.21 * 31.21
14 01-04-2025 Away W * 75.39 89 62 1 51 (24-11) SMU 13.63 13.37
15 01-07-2025 Home W * * 70.26 76 47 1 54 (17-15) Pittsburgh 8.50 20.50
16 01-11-2025 Home W * * 43.23 86 78 1 96 (15-18) Notre Dame -18.53 * 26.53
17 01-14-2025 Home W * * 63.35 89 54 1 163 ( 7-24) Miami FL 1.59 * 33.41
18 01-18-2025 Away W * * 58.81 88 63 1 180 (12-19) Boston College -2.95 * 27.95
19 01-25-2025 Away W * * 50.86 63 56 1 64 (21-11) Wake Forest -10.90 17.90
20 01-27-2025 Home W * * 43.51 74 64 1 104 (12-19) NC State -18.25 * 28.25
21 02-01-2025 Home W * * 62.35 87 70 1 33 (23-14) North Carolina 0.59 16.41
22 02-05-2025 Away W * * 68.06 83 54 1 110 (14-19) Syracuse 6.30 22.70
23 02-08-2025 Away L * * 45.96 71 77 1 28 (27- 7) Clemson -15.81 9.81
24 02-12-2025 Home W * * 54.63 78 57 1 105 (14-19) California -7.13 * 28.13
25 02-15-2025 Home W * * 72.78 106 70 1 80 (21-14) Stanford 11.02 24.98
26 02-17-2025 Away W * * 57.88 80 62 1 101 (15-17) Virginia -3.88 21.88
27 02-22-2025 Neutral W * 95.54 110 67 1 19 (22-13) Illinois 33.78 9.22
28 02-25-2025 Away W * * 71.46 97 60 1 163 ( 7-24) Miami FL 9.70 * 27.30
29 03-01-2025 Home W * * 71.45 100 65 1 82 (17-15) Florida St 9.68 25.32
30 03-03-2025 Home W * * 70.75 93 60 1 64 (21-11) Wake Forest 8.98 24.02
31 03-08-2025 Away W * * 64.47 82 69 1 33 (23-14) North Carolina 2.71 10.29
32 03-13-2025 Neutral W * * 45.30 78 70 1 99 (17-17) Georgia Tech -16.47 24.47
33 03-14-2025 Neutral W * * 51.41 74 71 1 33 (23-14) North Carolina -10.35 13.35
34 03-15-2025 Neutral W * * 60.37 73 62 1 31 (27- 8) Louisville -1.39 12.39
35 03-21-2025 Neutral W 70.15 93 49 1 247 (23-13) Mt St Mary's 8.38 * 35.62
36 03-23-2025 Neutral W * 72.72 89 66 1 30 (20-15) Baylor 10.96 12.04
37 03-27-2025 Neutral W * 60.89 100 93 1 14 (24-13) Arizona -0.87 7.87
38 03-29-2025 Neutral W * 76.80 85 65 1 5 (28- 9) Alabama 15.04 4.96
39 04-05-2025 Neutral L * 56.40 67 70 1 4 (35- 5) Houston -5.36 2.36
Averages 61.76 83.2 62.8
Best game: 95.54 = 43 point win over Illinois
Worst game: 43.23 = 8 point win over Notre Dame
Team stdev: 11.48