BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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California

Class: 1 Class Rank: 105 Overall: (14-19) Overall Strength =   36.47
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (7-15) | District: 1-01 Record: (8-16)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2024 Home    W      38.34  86  73    1 241 (14-19) CS Bakersfield          1.65     11.35                      
 2 11-07-2024 Home    W      46.04  91  73    1 176 (16-19) Cal Poly                9.35      8.65                      
 3 11-13-2024 Away    L   *  32.82  69  85    1  53 (20-13) Vanderbilt             -3.87    -12.13                      
 4 11-17-2024 Away    W   *  51.96  71  66    1  56 (17-18) Southern Cal           15.27    -10.27                      
 5 11-21-2024 Home    W      29.72  78  69    1 292 ( 4-28) Air Force              -6.97     15.97                      
 6 11-24-2024 Home    W      23.86  83  77    1 333 ( 7-25) CS Sacramento         -12.83     18.83                      
 7 11-27-2024 Home    W      41.97  81  55   ZZ  26 (15-16) Mercyhurst              5.28     20.72                      
 8 12-03-2024 Away    L   *  48.59  93  98    1  16 (22-12) Missouri               11.90    -16.90                      
 9 12-07-2024 Home    L * *  28.78  81  89    1  80 (21-14) Stanford               -7.91     -0.09                      
10 12-10-2024 Home    L   *  23.29  80  88    1 130 (17-11) Cornell               -13.40      5.40                      
11 12-14-2024 Home    W      42.35  84  66    1 230 (17-16) Northwestern LA         5.66     12.34                      
12 12-21-2024 Neutral L      22.66  50  71    1  59 (21-10) San Diego St          -14.03     -6.97                      
13 01-01-2025 Away    L * *  35.38  74  86    1  54 (17-15) Pittsburgh             -1.31    -10.69                      
14 01-04-2025 Away    L * *  39.96  68  80    1  28 (27- 7) Clemson                 3.27    -15.27                      
15 01-08-2025 Home    W * *  47.76  75  61    1 101 (15-17) Virginia               11.08      2.92                      
16 01-11-2025 Home    L * *  27.55  68  71    1 140 (13-19) Virginia Tech          -9.14      6.14                      
17 01-15-2025 Away    L * *  25.47  53  79    1  33 (23-14) North Carolina        -11.22    -14.78                      
18 01-18-2025 Away    W * *  42.63  65  62    1 104 (12-19) NC State                5.94     -2.94                      
19 01-22-2025 Home    W * *  45.45  77  68    1  82 (17-15) Florida St              8.76      0.24                      
20 01-25-2025 Home    W * *  32.35  98  94 1  1 163 ( 7-24) Miami FL               -4.34      8.34                      
21 01-29-2025 Away    L *    37.39  65  76    1  51 (24-11) SMU                     0.70    -11.70                      
22 02-01-2025 Home    L * *  23.94  66  75    1 110 (14-19) Syracuse              -12.75      3.75                      
23 02-05-2025 Home    W * *  45.51  74  62    1 104 (12-19) NC State                8.82      3.18                      
24 02-08-2025 Home    L * *  27.75  66  76    1  64 (21-11) Wake Forest            -8.94     -1.06                      
25 02-12-2025 Away    L * *  43.82  57  78    1   1 (35- 4) Duke                    7.13 *  -28.13                      
26 02-15-2025 Away    L * *  38.35  88  90 1  1  99 (17-17) Georgia Tech            1.66     -3.66                      
27 02-22-2025 Away    L * *  37.89  61  66    1  80 (21-14) Stanford                1.20     -6.20                      
28 02-26-2025 Home    L *    38.28  77  81    1  51 (24-11) SMU                     1.59     -5.59                      
29 03-01-2025 Home    W * *  38.70  82  71    1 180 (12-19) Boston College          2.01      8.99                      
30 03-05-2025 Away    L * *  35.43  68  85    1  31 (27- 8) Louisville             -1.26    -15.74                      
31 03-08-2025 Away    L * *  39.35 110 112 4  1  96 (15-18) Notre Dame              2.66     -4.66                      
32 03-11-2025 Neutral W * *  42.60  82  73 2  1 140 (13-19) Virginia Tech           5.91      3.09                      
33 03-12-2025 Neutral L * *  34.83  73  78    1  80 (21-14) Stanford               -1.86     -3.14                      
      Averages              36.69  75.6 76.8

Best game:   51.96 = 5 point win over Southern Cal
Worst game:  22.66 = 21 point loss to San Diego St
Team stdev:   8.09