BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1 Class Rank: 9 Overall: (27-9) Overall Strength = 61.70
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (15-7) | District: 1-01 Record: (19-9)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-06-2023 Home W * 64.62 92 54 1 329 ( 6-21) Dartmouth 3.06 * 34.94
2 11-10-2023 Home L * 57.46 73 78 1 6 (27- 9) Arizona -4.10 -0.90
3 11-14-2023 Neutral W * 67.35 74 65 1 18 (20-15) Michigan St 5.79 3.21
4 11-17-2023 Home W 62.60 90 60 1 271 (14-19) Bucknell 1.04 * 28.96
5 11-21-2023 Home W 66.22 95 66 1 191 (16-17) La Salle 4.66 24.34
6 11-24-2023 Home W 45.24 80 62 1 326 ( 8-24) Southern Indiana -16.32 * 34.32
7 11-29-2023 Away L * 44.76 75 80 1 107 (16-17) Arkansas -16.80 11.80
8 12-02-2023 Away L * * 44.69 68 72 1 117 (14-18) Georgia Tech -16.87 12.87
9 12-09-2023 Home W 66.87 80 56 1 115 (19-12) Charlotte 5.31 18.69
10 12-12-2023 Home W 63.63 89 68 1 121 (20-13) Hofstra 2.07 18.93
11 12-20-2023 Neutral W * 68.19 78 70 1 16 (24-11) Baylor 6.63 1.37
12 12-30-2023 Home W 69.15 106 69 1 272 (14-19) Queens NC 7.59 * 29.41
13 01-02-2024 Home W * * 67.02 86 66 1 86 (20-12) Syracuse 5.47 14.53
14 01-06-2024 Away W * * 56.84 67 59 1 114 (13-20) Notre Dame -4.72 12.72
15 01-09-2024 Away W * * 80.71 75 53 1 41 (22-11) Pittsburgh 19.15 2.85
16 01-13-2024 Home W * * 47.82 84 79 1 117 (14-18) Georgia Tech -13.74 18.74
17 01-20-2024 Home L * * 48.84 76 80 1 41 (22-11) Pittsburgh -12.72 8.72
18 01-23-2024 Away W * * 58.16 83 69 1 175 ( 8-24) Louisville -3.40 17.40
19 01-27-2024 Home W * * 55.31 72 71 1 21 (24-12) Clemson -6.24 7.24
20 01-29-2024 Away W * * 65.78 77 67 1 62 (19-15) Virginia Tech 4.22 5.78
21 02-03-2024 Away L * * 56.15 84 93 1 8 (29- 8) North Carolina -5.40 -3.60
22 02-07-2024 Home W * * 60.97 71 53 1 114 (13-20) Notre Dame -0.59 18.59
23 02-10-2024 Home W * * 62.84 80 65 1 71 (20-16) Boston College 1.28 13.72
24 02-12-2024 Home W * * 60.76 77 69 1 27 (21-14) Wake Forest -0.80 8.80
25 02-17-2024 Away W * * 62.34 76 67 1 72 (17-16) Florida St 0.78 8.22
26 02-21-2024 Away W * * 82.38 84 55 1 85 (15-17) Miami FL 20.82 8.18
27 02-24-2024 Away L * * 54.63 79 83 1 27 (21-14) Wake Forest -6.93 2.93
28 02-28-2024 Home W * * 63.28 84 59 1 175 ( 8-24) Louisville 1.73 23.27
29 03-02-2024 Home W * * 73.46 73 48 1 70 (23-11) Virginia 11.91 13.09
30 03-04-2024 Away W * * 71.64 79 64 1 49 (26-15) NC State 10.09 4.91
31 03-09-2024 Home L * * 54.28 79 84 1 8 (29- 8) North Carolina -7.28 2.28
32 03-14-2024 Neutral L * * 48.71 69 74 1 49 (26-15) NC State -12.85 7.85
33 03-22-2024 Neutral W 62.96 64 47 1 112 (28- 7) Vermont 1.40 15.60
34 03-24-2024 Neutral W 89.09 93 55 1 69 (32- 4) James Madison 27.53 10.47
35 03-29-2024 Neutral W * 69.64 54 51 1 5 (32- 5) Houston 8.08 -5.08
36 03-31-2024 Neutral L * * 41.71 64 76 1 49 (26-15) NC State -19.85 7.85
Averages 61.56 78.6 66.3
Best game: 89.09 = 38 point win over James Madison
Worst game: 41.71 = 12 point loss to NC State
Team stdev: 10.80