BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Villanova

Class: 1 Class Rank: 61 Conference: Big East Record: (10-10) Overall: (16-15) Overall Strength =   32.15

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    27.88  81  68    1 233 ( 13- 18) La Salle               -3.68     16.68                      
  2 11-11-2022 Away    L    25.68  64  68    1 113 ( 16- 14) Temple                 -5.89      1.89                      
  3 11-14-2022 Home    W    14.07  60  50    1 357 (  6- 23) Delaware St           -17.50 *   27.50                      
  4 11-18-2022 Away    L    36.53  71  73    1  30 ( 19- 11) Michigan St             4.96     -6.96                      
  5 11-24-2022 Neutral L    35.33  79  81 1  1  21 ( 18- 12) Iowa St                 3.76     -5.76                      
  6 11-25-2022 Neutral L    11.56  71  83    1 153 ( 14- 19) Portland              -20.01      8.01                      
  7 11-27-2022 Away    L    30.51  67  74    1  40 ( 18- 13) Oregon                 -1.05     -5.95                      
  8 12-03-2022 Home    W    33.41  70  66    1  52 ( 15- 16) Oklahoma                1.84      2.16                      
  9 12-07-2022 Home    W    31.63  70  59    1 138 ( 17- 12) Penn                    0.06     10.94                      
 10 12-10-2022 Neutral W    43.10  77  56    1 170 ( 15- 16) Boston College         11.53      9.47                      
 11 12-17-2022 Away    W    31.24  71  64    1 200 ( 14- 16) St Joseph's PA         -0.33      7.33                      
 12 12-21-2022 Home    W *  40.73  78  63    1  86 ( 17- 14) St John's               9.17      5.83                      
 13 12-28-2022 Away    L *  37.39  66  74    1   4 ( 24-  7) Connecticut             5.82    -13.82                      
 14 12-31-2022 Home    L *  32.50  66  68    1  13 ( 25-  6) Marquette               0.93     -2.93                      
 15 01-04-2023 Away    W *  39.84  73  57    1 207 (  7- 24) Georgetown              8.27      7.73                      
 16 01-07-2023 Home    L *  25.86  80  88    1  18 ( 23-  8) Xavier                 -5.70     -2.30                      
 17 01-10-2023 Away    L *  16.96  65  75    1 152 (  9- 22) DePaul                -14.61      4.61                      
 18 01-13-2023 Away    L *  22.50  71  79    1 105 ( 14- 17) Butler                 -9.07      1.07                      
 19 01-16-2023 Home    W *  21.09  77  73    1 207 (  7- 24) Georgetown            -10.48     14.48                      
 20 01-20-2023 Away    W *  40.48  57  49    1  86 ( 17- 14) St John's               8.92     -0.92                      
 21 01-29-2023 Home    L *  25.61  65  70    1  38 ( 21- 10) Providence             -5.96      0.96                      
 22 02-01-2023 Away    L *  32.25  64  73    1  13 ( 25-  6) Marquette               0.68     -9.68                      
 23 02-04-2023 Away    L *  37.46  61  66    1  12 ( 20- 11) Creighton               5.89    -10.89                      
 24 02-08-2023 Home    W *  36.21  81  65    1 152 (  9- 22) DePaul                  4.64     11.36                      
 25 02-11-2023 Home    W *  32.96  58  54    1  57 ( 17- 14) Seton Hall              1.40      2.60                      
 26 02-14-2023 Home    W *  35.75  62  50    1 105 ( 14- 17) Butler                  4.18      7.82                      
 27 02-18-2023 Away    L *  24.36  72  85    1  38 ( 21- 10) Providence             -7.21     -5.79                      
 28 02-21-2023 Away    W *  41.61  64  63    1  18 ( 23-  8) Xavier                 10.05     -9.05                      
 29 02-25-2023 Home    W *  47.71  79  67    1  12 ( 20- 11) Creighton              16.14     -4.14                      
 30 02-28-2023 Away    W *  39.72  76  72    1  57 ( 17- 14) Seton Hall              8.15     -4.15                      
 31 03-04-2023 Home    L *  26.64  59  71    1   4 ( 24-  7) Connecticut            -4.93     -7.07                      
      Averages              31.57  69.5 67.9

Best game:   47.71 = 12 point win over Creighton
Worst game:  11.56 = 12 point loss to Portland
Team stdev:   8.66