BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Portland

Class: 1 Class Rank: 153 Conference: West Coast Record: (6-12) Overall: (14-19) Overall Strength =   23.56

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    23.56  89  62   ZZ  84 (  0-  1) Lewis & Clark           0.00 *   27.00                      
  2 11-09-2022 Home    W    40.18  91  54    1 358 (  7- 22) Florida A&M            16.62     20.38                      
  3 11-11-2022 Home    W    22.04  98  91    1 231 ( 12- 19) Portland St            -1.52      8.52                      
  4 11-14-2022 Away    L    22.29  65  77    1  78 ( 25-  6) Kent                   -1.27    -10.73                      
  5 11-17-2022 Away    W    40.45  64  51    1 143 ( 14- 17) Air Force              16.89     -3.89                      
  6 11-19-2022 Home    L     9.17  68  80    1 134 ( 20- 11) Seattle               -14.39      2.39                      
  7 11-24-2022 Neutral L    25.73  81  89    1  43 ( 19- 12) North Carolina          2.17    -10.17                      
  8 11-25-2022 Neutral W    43.57  83  71    1  61 ( 16- 15) Villanova              20.01     -8.01                      
  9 11-27-2022 Home    L    30.78  77  78    1  30 ( 19- 11) Michigan St             7.22     -8.22                      
 10 11-30-2022 Home    W    23.56 100  79   ZZ  45 (  0-  1) Multnomah Bib           0.00     21.00                      
 11 12-03-2022 Home    W    34.05  90  69    1 258 ( 13- 20) North Dakota           10.49     10.51                      
 12 12-05-2022 Home    L    11.38  62  67    1 217 ( 14- 16) N Dakota St           -12.18      7.18                      
 13 12-10-2022 Home    W    43.62 100  61    1 354 ( 10- 19) New Orleans            20.06     18.94                      
 14 12-17-2022 Away    L    15.51  56  78    1  40 ( 18- 13) Oregon                 -8.05    -13.95                      
 15 12-22-2022 Away    L    17.00  65  76    1 150 ( 21- 11) UC Riverside           -6.56     -4.44                      
 16 12-29-2022 Home    L *   3.30  72  92    1 108 ( 19- 12) Loy Marymount         -20.26      0.26                      
 17 12-31-2022 Away    L *  21.30  58  71    1  74 ( 19- 14) BYU                    -2.26    -10.74                      
 18 01-07-2023 Away    L *   0.88  43  85    1  10 ( 25-  6) St Mary's CA          -22.68    -19.32                      
 19 01-12-2023 Home    W *  29.42  92  87    1  99 ( 20- 13) San Francisco           5.86     -0.86                      
 20 01-14-2023 Away    L *   4.35  75 115    1  11 ( 26-  5) Gonzaga               -19.21    -20.79                      
 21 01-19-2023 Home    W *  21.54  88  83    1 218 ( 11- 20) San Diego              -2.02      7.02                      
 22 01-21-2023 Home    W *  33.54  91  76    1 172 (  9- 22) Pepperdine              9.98      5.02                      
 23 01-26-2023 Away    L *  11.05  60  79    1 108 ( 19- 12) Loy Marymount         -12.51     -6.49                      
 24 01-28-2023 Home    L *  22.60  67  82    1  11 ( 26-  5) Gonzaga                -0.96    -14.04                      
 25 02-02-2023 Away    W *  42.29  80  61    1 218 ( 11- 20) San Diego              18.73      0.27                      
 26 02-04-2023 Away    L *  24.29  93  94 2  1 172 (  9- 22) Pepperdine              0.73     -1.73                      
 27 02-09-2023 Home    W *  26.35  81  73    1 176 ( 15- 18) Pacific                 2.79      5.21                      
 28 02-11-2023 Home    L *  19.13  64  81    1  10 ( 25-  6) St Mary's CA           -4.43    -12.57                      
 29 02-18-2023 Home    L *   7.46  84 103    1  83 ( 23-  9) Santa Clara           -16.10     -2.90                      
 30 02-23-2023 Away    L *  28.17  89  92    1  99 ( 20- 13) San Francisco           4.61     -7.61                      
 31 02-25-2023 Away    L *  21.10  77  81    1 176 ( 15- 18) Pacific                -2.45     -1.55                      
 32 03-02-2023 Neutral W *  37.91  92  74    1 218 ( 11- 20) San Diego              14.35      3.65                      
 33 03-03-2023 Neutral L *  19.92  71  82    1  74 ( 19- 14) BYU                    -3.64     -7.36                      
      Averages              23.56  77.8 78.6

Best game:   43.62 = 39 point win over New Orleans
Worst game:   0.88 = 42 point loss to St Mary's CA
Team stdev:  11.83