BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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VCU

Class: 1 Class Rank: 80 Conference: Atlantic 10 Record: (15-3) Overall: (24-7) Overall Strength =   30.51

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    27.03  73  56    1 302 ( 12- 17) Manhattan              -3.48     20.48                      
  2 11-12-2022 Home    W    26.03  69  54    1 315 ( 15- 15) Morgan St              -4.48     19.48                      
  3 11-16-2022 Neutral L    28.33  59  63    1  58 ( 20- 11) Arizona St             -2.18     -1.82                      
  4 11-17-2022 Neutral W    35.59  71  67    1  66 ( 21- 10) Pittsburgh              5.08     -1.08                      
  5 11-20-2022 Away    L    22.49  47  62    1  33 ( 23-  7) Memphis                -8.01     -6.99                      
  6 11-26-2022 Home    W    23.55  64  61    1 145 ( 25-  8) Kennesaw               -6.96      9.96                      
  7 11-30-2022 Home    W    31.43  70  65    1  84 ( 18- 13) Vanderbilt              0.93      4.07                      
  8 12-03-2022 Away    L    19.68  73  83    1 113 ( 16- 14) Temple                -10.83      0.83                      
  9 12-07-2022 Home    L     3.11  62  73    1 239 ( 13- 16) Jacksonville          -27.40     16.40                      
 10 12-11-2022 Home    W    24.61  70  60    1 238 ( 19- 12) Howard                 -5.90     15.90                      
 11 12-14-2022 Home    W    26.33  70  62    1 177 ( 19- 14) Radford                -4.18     12.18                      
 12 12-17-2022 Home    W    41.55  90  63    1 245 ( 13- 18) Northern Illinois      11.04     15.96                      
 13 12-21-2022 Home    W    39.97  74  52    1 188 ( 18- 13) Navy                    9.46     12.54                      
 14 12-31-2022 Home    W *  27.88  80  67    1 233 ( 13- 18) La Salle               -2.63     15.63                      
 15 01-04-2023 Away    L *  20.23  70  79    1 118 ( 20- 11) Duquesne              -10.28      1.28                      
 16 01-07-2023 Home    W *  37.77  89  72    1 142 ( 15- 15) Davidson                7.26      9.74                      
 17 01-10-2023 Away    W *  34.47  78  64    1 253 ( 10- 20) Loyola-Chicago          3.96     10.04                      
 18 01-13-2023 Away    W *  35.03  63  62    1  77 ( 20- 11) Dayton                  4.52     -3.52                      
 19 01-17-2023 Home    W *  46.09  83  55    1 185 ( 15- 15) Massachusetts          15.58     12.42                      
 20 01-20-2023 Away    W *  37.82  74  62    1 166 ( 14- 17) Richmond                7.31      4.69                      
 21 01-25-2023 Home    W *  40.78  72  52    1 141 ( 19- 12) George Mason           10.27      9.73                      
 22 01-28-2023 Home    L *  14.77  58  61    1 194 ( 14- 17) St Bonaventure        -15.74     12.74                      
 23 01-31-2023 Away    W *  29.52  61  59    1 142 ( 15- 15) Davidson               -0.99      2.99                      
 24 02-03-2023 Away    W *  38.21  73  65    1 109 ( 20- 11) Saint Louis             7.70      0.30                      
 25 02-07-2023 Home    L *  23.28  58  62    1  77 ( 20- 11) Dayton                 -7.23      3.23                      
 26 02-15-2023 Away    W *  22.45  55  54    1 236 (  9- 21) Rhode Island           -8.06      9.06                      
 27 02-18-2023 Home    W *  39.53  80  61    1 146 ( 24-  7) Fordham                 9.02      9.98                      
 28 02-21-2023 Away    W *  49.24  88  63    1 200 ( 14- 16) St Joseph's PA         18.73      6.27                      
 29 02-24-2023 Home    W *  34.07  73  58    1 166 ( 14- 17) Richmond                3.56     11.44                      
 30 02-28-2023 Home    W *  35.46  79  67    1 109 ( 20- 11) Saint Louis             4.95      7.05                      
 31 03-04-2023 Away    W *  29.47  74  68    1 215 ( 16- 15) G Washington           -1.04      7.04                      
      Averages              30.51  71.0 63.0

Best game:   49.24 = 25 point win over St Joseph's PA
Worst game:   3.11 = 11 point loss to Jacksonville
Team stdev:   9.67