BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1 Class Rank: 77 Conference: Atlantic 10 Record: (12-6) Overall: (20-11) Overall Strength = 30.65
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home W 33.82 73 46 1 339 ( 11- 21) Lindenwood 3.17 23.83
2 11-11-2022 Home W 30.18 74 62 1 174 ( 10- 20) SMU -0.47 12.47
3 11-15-2022 Away L 24.67 52 60 1 90 ( 18- 12) UNLV -5.98 -2.02
4 11-19-2022 Home W 23.48 60 51 1 240 ( 16- 17) Robert Morris -7.18 16.18
5 11-23-2022 Neutral L 30.48 42 43 1 60 ( 16- 13) Wisconsin -0.17 -0.83
6 11-24-2022 Neutral L 21.72 64 76 1 44 ( 22- 9) NC State -8.94 -3.06
7 11-25-2022 Neutral L 26.92 75 79 1 1 74 ( 19- 14) BYU -3.73 -0.27
8 11-30-2022 Home W 29.74 67 47 1 319 ( 8- 23) Western Michigan -0.91 20.91
9 12-03-2022 Home W 19.06 80 74 1 264 ( 18- 13) SE Louisiana -11.59 17.59
10 12-07-2022 Away L 6.48 49 77 1 76 ( 18- 13) Virginia Tech -24.18 -3.82
11 12-10-2022 Home W 42.05 79 56 1 161 ( 26- 7) UNC Asheville 11.40 11.60
12 12-17-2022 Neutral W 41.26 66 49 1 137 ( 9- 21) Wyoming 10.60 6.40
13 12-20-2022 Home W 54.95 88 46 1 252 ( 18- 12) Alcorn St 24.30 17.70
14 12-28-2022 Home W * 34.48 69 57 1 118 ( 20- 11) Duquesne 3.83 8.17
15 12-31-2022 Away W * 41.52 69 55 1 142 ( 15- 15) Davidson 10.87 3.13
16 01-04-2023 Home W * 37.48 76 56 1 200 ( 14- 16) St Joseph's PA 6.83 13.17
17 01-10-2023 Away W * 51.28 82 58 1 146 ( 24- 7) Fordham 20.63 3.37
18 01-13-2023 Home L * 26.13 62 63 1 80 ( 24- 7) VCU -4.52 3.52
19 01-17-2023 Home W * 27.77 68 61 1 142 ( 15- 15) Davidson -2.88 9.88
20 01-21-2023 Away L * 16.47 69 76 1 215 ( 16- 15) G Washington -14.18 7.18
21 01-25-2023 Away L * 16.45 70 75 1 236 ( 9- 21) Rhode Island -14.20 9.20
22 01-28-2023 Home W * 45.07 86 60 1 166 ( 14- 17) Richmond 14.42 11.58
23 01-31-2023 Home W * 17.72 85 81 1 1 253 ( 10- 20) Loyola-Chicago -12.93 16.93
24 02-04-2023 Away L * 15.52 59 68 1 194 ( 14- 17) St Bonaventure -15.14 6.14
25 02-07-2023 Away W * 37.88 62 58 1 80 ( 24- 7) VCU 7.23 -3.23
26 02-10-2023 Home W * 37.46 70 56 1 109 ( 20- 11) Saint Louis 6.81 7.19
27 02-17-2023 Away W * 36.47 65 49 1 253 ( 10- 20) Loyola-Chicago 5.82 10.18
28 02-22-2023 Away W * 42.84 72 54 1 185 ( 15- 15) Massachusetts 12.18 5.82
29 02-25-2023 Home L * 15.78 69 74 1 141 ( 19- 12) George Mason -14.87 9.87
30 02-28-2023 Home W * 38.88 77 53 1 233 ( 13- 18) La Salle 8.23 15.77
31 03-03-2023 Away L * 26.21 61 65 1 109 ( 20- 11) Saint Louis -4.44 0.44
Averages 30.65 69.0 60.8
Best game: 54.95 = 42 point win over Alcorn St
Worst game: 6.48 = 28 point loss to Virginia Tech
Team stdev: 11.51