BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Valparaiso
Class: 1B Class Rank: 128 Overall: (1-7) Overall Strength = 99.06
Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (0-4) | District: 1B-01 Record: (0-6)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Home W 121.08 67 10 NA 83 (1-6) Virginia U-Lynchburg 17.46 * 23.86 39.54
2 09/06/2025 Home L 96.69 7 10 3 18 (6-1) Adrian -6.92 22.78 3.92
3 09/13/2025 Away L * 104.16 30 51 1B 96 (2-7) Western Illinois 0.55 -9.56 -21.55
4 09/20/2025 Away L * 112.55 7 58 1B 2 (6-2) North Dakota 8.93 * -35.05 -59.93
5 10/04/2025 Away L * * 100.03 0 41 1B 39 (5-2) Drake -3.59 * -45.23 -37.41
6 10/11/2025 Home L * * 94.11 10 41 1B 87 (6-2) Dayton -9.51 -23.01 -21.49
7 10/18/2025 Away L * * 99.02 17 55 1B 70 (5-3) St Thomas MN -4.59 * -38.48 -33.41
8 10/25/2025 Home L * * 101.28 13 17 1B 124 (4-5) Morehead St -2.33 -8.01 -1.67
9 11/01/2025 Away * * 1B 43 (7-1) Presbyterian -39.47
10 11/08/2025 Home * * 1B 63 (4-4) San Diego -31.54
11 11/15/2025 Home * * 1B 127 (3-6) Stetson 1.62
12 11/22/2025 Away * * 1B 90 (5-3) Butler -28.94
Averages 103.62 18.9 35.4
Best game: 121.08 = 57 point win over Virginia U-Lynchburg
Worst game: 94.11 = 31 point loss to Dayton
Team stdev: 8.97