BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 87 Overall: (6-2) Overall Strength = 125.87
Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (4-1) | District: 1B-01 Record: (5-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Away L * 118.07 14 24 1B 89 (3-5) Eastern Illinois -9.25 -5.76 -0.75
2 09/06/2025 Home W 135.67 38 0 2 144 (0-8) Thomas More 8.35 * 13.49 29.65
3 09/20/2025 Away W * 119.68 17 14 1B 113 (2-6) Robert Morris -7.64 6.42 10.64
4 09/27/2025 Home W * * 127.66 48 14 1B 127 (3-6) Stetson 0.33 * 36.40 33.67
5 10/04/2025 Away W * * 116.71 35 28 1B 124 (4-5) Morehead St -10.61 1.72 17.61
6 10/11/2025 Away W * * 136.83 41 10 1B 128 (1-7) Valparaiso 9.51 23.01 21.49
7 10/18/2025 Home L * * 117.57 17 23 1B 90 (5-3) Butler -9.75 3.48 3.75
8 10/25/2025 Home W * * 146.38 35 19 1B 43 (7-1) Presbyterian 19.06 -13.91 -3.06
9 11/01/2025 Away * * 1B 63 (4-4) San Diego -9.16
10 11/15/2025 Home * * 1B 39 (5-2) Drake -9.90
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1B 129 (1-7) Davidson 34.96
Averages 127.32 30.6 16.5
Best game: 146.38 = 16 point win over Presbyterian
Worst game: 116.71 = 7 point win over Morehead St
Team stdev: 11.18