BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Dayton

Class: 1B Class Rank: 87 Overall: (7-4) Overall Strength =  117.61
Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (5-3) | District: 1B-01 Record: (6-4)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/28/2025 Away    L   * 109.37  14  24   1B  90 ( 3- 9) Eastern Illinois       -8.42     -5.76   -1.58                      
 2 09/06/2025 Home    W     126.27  38   0    2 123 ( 1-10) Thomas More             8.47     13.49   29.53                      
 3 09/20/2025 Away    W   * 113.94  17  14   1B 111 ( 3- 9) Robert Morris          -3.86      6.42    6.86                      
 4 09/27/2025 Home    W * * 119.67  48  14   1B 129 ( 3- 9) Stetson                 1.87 *   36.40   32.13                      
 5 10/04/2025 Away    W * * 110.36  35  28   1B 123 ( 6- 6) Morehead St            -7.44      1.72   14.44                      
 6 10/11/2025 Away    W * * 129.67  41  10   1B 126 ( 2-10) Valparaiso             11.88     23.01   19.12                      
 7 10/18/2025 Home    L * * 105.68  17  23   1B  96 ( 6- 6) Butler                -12.12      3.45    6.12                      
 8 10/25/2025 Home    W * * 135.68  35  19   1B  72 (10- 2) Presbyterian           17.89    -13.93   -1.89                      
 9 11/01/2025 Away    L * * 107.24  13  31   1B  71 ( 8- 4) San Diego             -10.56     -9.15   -7.44                      
10 11/15/2025 Home    L * * 116.86   6  14   1B  60 ( 8- 4) Drake                  -0.93     -8.04   -7.07                      
11 11/22/2025 Away    W * * 121.00  42  14   1B 127 ( 2-10) Davidson                3.21     19.02   24.79                      
      Averages             117.79  27.8 17.4

Best game:  135.68 = 16 point win over Presbyterian
Worst game: 105.68 = 6 point loss to Butler
Team stdev:   9.73