BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Dayton

Class: 1B Class Rank: 87 Overall: (7-4) Overall Strength =  117.04
Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (5-3) | District: 1B-01 Record: (6-4)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/28/2025 Away    L   * 108.99  14  24   1B  88 ( 3- 9) Eastern Illinois       -8.23     -5.76   -1.77                      
 2 09/06/2025 Home    W     126.05  38   0    2 120 ( 1-10) Thomas More             8.82     13.49   29.18                      
 3 09/20/2025 Away    W   * 113.14  17  14   1B 112 ( 3- 9) Robert Morris          -4.08      6.42    7.08                      
 4 09/27/2025 Home    W * * 119.03  48  14   1B 128 ( 3- 9) Stetson                 1.81 *   36.42   32.19                      
 5 10/04/2025 Away    W * * 109.91  35  28   1B 123 ( 6- 6) Morehead St            -7.31      1.73   14.31                      
 6 10/11/2025 Away    W * * 129.09  41  10   1B 126 ( 2-10) Valparaiso             11.87     23.02   19.13                      
 7 10/18/2025 Home    L * * 105.09  17  23   1B  96 ( 6- 6) Butler                -12.13      3.47    6.13                      
 8 10/25/2025 Home    W * * 135.05  35  19   1B  70 (10- 2) Presbyterian           17.82    -13.93   -1.82                      
 9 11/01/2025 Away    L * * 106.54  13  31   1B  71 ( 8- 4) San Diego             -10.68     -9.16   -7.32                      
10 11/15/2025 Home    L * * 116.14   6  14   1B  60 ( 8- 4) Drake                  -1.08     -8.02   -6.92                      
11 11/22/2025 Away    W * * 120.41  42  14   1B 127 ( 2-10) Davidson                3.19     19.00   24.81                      
      Averages             117.22  27.8 17.4

Best game:  135.05 = 16 point win over Presbyterian
Worst game: 105.09 = 6 point loss to Butler
Team stdev:   9.75