BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Valparaiso
Class: 1B Class Rank: 125 Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength = 87.49
Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (2-5) | District: 1B-01 Record: (2-7)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Away L * 86.10 7 35 1B 75 ( 3- 9) Northern Iowa -1.39 -19.71 -26.61
2 09/07/2024 Away L * 82.35 25 59 1B 49 ( 4- 8) Youngstown St -5.15 -23.86 -28.85
3 09/14/2024 Home W 105.81 20 17 NA 1 (11- 2) Indiana Wesleyan 18.31 -18.64 -15.31
4 09/21/2024 Home W 95.35 31 23 2 88 ( 1- 9) Roosevelt 7.86 1.03 0.14
5 09/28/2024 Away L * * 82.27 5 17 1B 119 ( 7- 5) Morehead St -5.22 3.77 -6.78
6 10/05/2024 Home L * * 80.94 3 27 1B 78 ( 8- 3) Drake -6.55 -32.10 -17.45
7 10/19/2024 Home L * * 64.70 14 42 1B 117 ( 6- 6) St Thomas MN -22.79 8.58 -5.21
8 10/26/2024 Away W * * 85.23 17 14 1B 127 ( 1-10) Marist -2.27 0.43 5.27
9 11/09/2024 Home L * * 97.71 17 24 1B 90 ( 9- 3) Butler 10.22 -21.17 -17.22
10 11/16/2024 Away L * * 87.09 14 26 1B 115 ( 6- 5) Dayton -0.41 -14.55 -11.59
11 11/23/2024 Home W * * 94.88 18 17 1B 113 ( 6- 5) Davidson 7.39 -9.55 -6.39
Averages 87.49 15.5 27.4
Best game: 105.81 = 3 point win over Indiana Wesleyan
Worst game: 64.70 = 28 point loss to St Thomas MN
Team stdev: 10.86