BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 115 Overall: (6-5) Overall Strength = 96.05
Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (4-4) | District: 1B-01 Record: (5-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Home W * 105.50 18 10 1B 107 ( 4- 7) St Francis PA 8.84 -6.23 -0.84
2 09/14/2024 Away L * 96.37 13 24 1B 85 ( 4- 8) Indiana St -0.29 6.55 -10.71
3 09/21/2024 Home W 102.70 49 7 NA 56 ( 3- 7) Ave Maria 6.04 * 27.21 35.96
4 09/28/2024 Away W * * 115.23 47 14 1B 127 ( 1-10) Marist 18.57 10.06 14.43
5 10/12/2024 Home W * * 95.88 16 14 1B 113 ( 6- 5) Davidson -0.78 5.45 2.78
6 10/19/2024 Away W * * 116.57 21 14 1B 90 ( 9- 3) Butler 19.91 -14.35 -12.91
7 10/26/2024 Home L * * 81.41 6 14 1B 119 ( 7- 5) Morehead St -15.25 21.14 7.25
8 11/02/2024 Away L * * 78.24 7 28 1B 104 ( 6- 6) Presbyterian -18.42 3.63 -2.58
9 11/09/2024 Home L * * 99.71 10 16 1B 77 ( 8- 3) San Diego 3.05 -6.28 -9.05
10 11/16/2024 Home W * * 97.06 26 14 1B 125 ( 4- 7) Valparaiso 0.41 14.55 11.59
11 11/23/2024 Away L * * 74.56 9 32 1B 117 ( 6- 6) St Thomas MN -22.10 3.47 -0.90
Averages 96.66 20.2 17.0
Best game: 116.57 = 7 point win over Butler
Worst game: 74.56 = 23 point loss to St Thomas MN
Team stdev: 13.88