BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Troy
Class: 1A Class Rank: 103 Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength = 132.46
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (3-5) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-8)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Home L * 129.41 26 28 1A 98 ( 3-10) Nevada -3.04 14.41 1.04
2 09/07/2024 Away L * 127.14 17 38 1A 59 (11- 2) Memphis -5.31 -14.65 -15.69
3 09/14/2024 Away L * 142.53 21 38 1A 25 ( 8- 5) Iowa 10.07 -18.88 -27.07
4 09/21/2024 Home W 126.30 34 12 1B 87 ( 7- 5) Florida A&M -6.15 14.96 28.15
5 09/28/2024 Home L * * 124.55 9 13 1A 107 ( 5- 7) Louisiana-Monroe -7.90 -3.46 3.90
6 10/03/2024 Home L * * 121.97 17 38 1A 61 ( 8- 5) Texas St-San Marcos -10.49 -2.61 -10.51
7 10/15/2024 Away L * * 127.76 9 25 1A 79 ( 7- 6) South Alabama -4.70 -1.05 -11.30
8 10/26/2024 Away L * * 128.46 31 34 1A 115 ( 8- 5) Arkansas St -4.00 0.89 1.00
9 11/02/2024 Home W * * 144.40 38 24 1A 100 ( 6- 7) Coastal Carolina 11.94 -4.98 2.06
10 11/16/2024 Away W * * 150.54 28 20 1A 77 ( 8- 5) Georgia Southern 18.08 -14.91 -10.08
11 11/23/2024 Away L * * 121.56 30 51 1A 74 (10- 4) Louisiana-Lafayette -10.90 -14.94 -10.10
12 11/30/2024 Home W * * 144.85 52 20 1A 131 ( 1-11) Southern Miss 12.40 16.61 19.60
Averages 132.46 26.0 28.4
Best game: 150.54 = 8 point win over Georgia Southern
Worst game: 121.56 = 21 point loss to Louisiana-Lafayette
Team stdev: 10.13