BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Memphis
Class: 1A Class Rank: 59 Overall: (11-2) Overall Strength = 146.30
Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (6-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (10-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Home W 153.47 40 0 1B 52 ( 3- 9) North Alabama 7.76 * 16.63 32.24
2 09/07/2024 Home W * 151.03 38 17 1A 103 ( 4- 8) Troy 5.31 14.65 15.69
3 09/14/2024 Away W * 147.06 20 12 1A 87 ( 2-10) Florida St 1.34 9.84 6.66
4 09/21/2024 Away L * * 137.99 44 56 1A 51 (10- 3) Navy -7.73 10.03 -4.27
5 09/28/2024 Home W * 131.54 24 7 1A 132 ( 3- 9) Middle Tennessee St -14.17 * 35.46 31.17
6 10/12/2024 Neutral W * * 155.16 21 3 1A 91 ( 7- 6) South Florida 9.45 12.03 8.55
7 10/19/2024 Home W * * 141.24 52 44 1A 93 ( 6- 7) North Texas -4.47 11.11 12.47
8 10/26/2024 Home W * * 131.05 33 28 1A 117 ( 5- 7) UNC-Charlotte -14.66 18.10 19.66
9 11/02/2024 Away L * * 130.93 36 44 1A 90 ( 7- 6) Texas-San Antonio -14.79 15.93 6.79
10 11/08/2024 Home W * * 137.85 27 20 1A 108 ( 4- 8) Rice -7.87 11.89 14.87
11 11/16/2024 Home W * * 160.47 53 18 1A 120 ( 3- 9) Alabama-Birmingham 14.76 16.81 20.24
12 11/28/2024 Away W * * 166.63 34 24 1A 38 ( 9- 5) Tulane 20.92 -21.08 -10.92
13 12/17/2024 Neutral W * 149.87 42 37 1A 63 ( 6- 7) West Virginia 4.15 -0.98 0.85
Averages 145.71 35.7 23.8
Best game: 166.63 = 10 point win over Tulane
Worst game: 130.93 = 8 point loss to Texas-San Antonio
Team stdev: 11.65