BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Michigan
Class: 1A Class Rank: 27 Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength = 155.97
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (8-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Home W * 155.63 30 10 1A 84 ( 7- 6) Fresno St -0.35 16.64 20.35
2 09/07/2024 Home L * 148.81 12 31 1A 4 (13- 3) Texas -7.16 -6.94 -11.84
3 09/14/2024 Home W * 136.60 28 18 1A 115 ( 8- 5) Arkansas St -19.37 17.12 29.37
4 09/21/2024 Home W * * 159.52 27 24 1A 23 ( 7- 6) Southern Cal 3.54 -5.79 -0.54
5 09/28/2024 Home W * * 158.01 27 24 1A 24 ( 8- 5) Minnesota 2.03 8.13 0.97
6 10/05/2024 Away L * * 142.12 17 27 1A 48 ( 6- 7) Washington -13.85 2.62 3.85
7 10/19/2024 Away L * * 140.95 7 21 1A 37 (10- 3) Illinois -15.03 3.55 1.03
8 10/26/2024 Home W * * 144.42 24 17 1A 78 ( 5- 7) Michigan St -11.55 1.49 18.55
9 11/02/2024 Home L * * 141.43 17 38 1A 6 (13- 1) Oregon -14.54 -17.28 -6.46
10 11/09/2024 Away L * * 166.16 15 20 1A 5 (11- 2) Indiana 10.18 -27.72 -15.18
11 11/23/2024 Home W * * 180.56 50 6 1A 82 ( 4- 8) Northwestern 24.59 7.68 19.41
12 11/30/2024 Away W * * 179.70 13 10 1A 1 (13- 2) Ohio State 23.73 -24.27 -20.73
13 12/31/2024 Neutral W * 173.76 19 13 1A 9 ( 9- 4) Alabama 17.78 -13.90 -11.78
Averages 155.97 22.0 19.9
Best game: 180.56 = 44 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 136.60 = 10 point win over Arkansas St
Team stdev: 15.26