BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 37 Overall: (10-3) Overall Strength =  152.77
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (6-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (9-3)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/29/2024 Home    W     149.49  45   0   1B  88 ( 3- 9) Eastern Illinois       -3.03 *   12.07   48.03                      
 2 09/07/2024 Home    W   * 159.02  23  17   1A  30 ( 5- 7) Kansas                  6.51     -4.00   -0.51                      
 3 09/14/2024 Home    W   * 144.62  30   9   1A 122 ( 4- 8) Central Michigan       -7.90     25.69   28.90                      
 4 09/20/2024 Away    W * * 161.09  31  24   1A  36 ( 7- 6) Nebraska                8.58     -2.79   -1.58                      
 5 09/28/2024 Away    L * * 154.73   7  21   1A   8 (13- 3) Penn State              2.21     -7.13  -16.21                      
 6 10/12/2024 Home    W * * 125.79  50  49   1A 104 ( 1-11) Purdue                -26.73     27.55   27.73                      
 7 10/19/2024 Home    W * * 167.54  21   7   1A  27 ( 8- 5) Michigan               15.03     -3.55   -1.03                      
 8 10/26/2024 Away    L * * 138.29   9  38   1A   6 (13- 1) Oregon                -14.22    -21.34  -14.78                      
 9 11/02/2024 Home    L * * 147.01  17  25   1A  24 ( 8- 5) Minnesota              -5.51     -3.78   -2.49                      
10 11/16/2024 Home    W * * 159.42  38  16   1A  78 ( 5- 7) Michigan St             6.90      5.97   15.10                      
11 11/23/2024 Away    W * * 157.86  38  31   1A  50 ( 7- 6) Rutgers                 5.34     -0.26    1.66                      
12 11/30/2024 Away    W * * 151.42  38  28   1A  82 ( 4- 8) Northwestern           -1.10      9.46   11.10                      
13 12/31/2024 Neutral W   * 166.43  21  17   1A  10 ( 9- 4) South Carolina         13.92    -13.91   -9.92                      
      Averages             152.52  28.3 21.7

Best game:  167.54 = 14 point win over Michigan
Worst game: 125.79 = 1 point win over Purdue
Team stdev:  11.68