BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Valparaiso
Class: 1B Class Rank: 121 Overall: (3-8) Overall Strength = 81.60
Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (2-6) | District: 1B-01 Record: (2-7)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2023 Away L 83.70 10 52 1B 10 ( 8- 5) Youngstown St 2.09 * -44.09
2 09/09/2023 Away L 82.41 22 24 NA 18 ( 10- 2) Indiana Wesleyan 0.80 -2.80
3 09/23/2023 Home L * 69.19 30 36 1B 125 ( 4- 7) Marist -12.42 6.42
4 09/30/2023 Home W 77.21 16 15 2 111 ( 2- 9) SW Minnesota St -4.40 5.40
5 10/07/2023 Away L * 86.04 14 20 1B 108 ( 8- 4) Drake 4.43 -10.43
6 10/14/2023 Home L * 79.37 21 24 1B 119 ( 4- 7) Morehead St -2.23 -0.77
7 10/21/2023 Away L * 70.44 21 42 1B 110 ( 7- 4) Davidson -11.17 -9.83
8 10/28/2023 Away L * 87.80 7 17 1B 85 ( 7- 4) Butler 6.20 -16.20
9 11/04/2023 Home W * 95.91 21 7 1B 120 ( 4- 7) Dayton 14.30 -0.30
10 11/11/2023 Home W * 75.86 23 20 1B 127 ( 3- 8) Stetson -5.74 8.74
11 11/18/2023 Away L * 89.73 10 16 1B 93 ( 8- 3) St Thomas MN 8.12 -14.12
Averages 81.60 17.7 24.8
Best game: 95.91 = 14 point win over Dayton
Worst game: 69.19 = 6 point loss to Marist
Team stdev: 8.18