BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 120 Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength = 84.08
Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (2-6) | District: 1B-01 Record: (2-7)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2023 Away L 82.34 0 41 1B 15 ( 6- 5) Illinois St -1.74 * -39.26
2 09/09/2023 Home W 98.53 62 24 2 152 ( 5- 5) Central St OH 14.45 23.55
3 09/16/2023 Home W 85.03 52 20 NA 55 ( 2- 9) Taylor 0.96 31.04
4 09/23/2023 Away L * 72.44 25 40 1B 115 ( 4- 7) San Diego -11.64 -3.36
5 09/30/2023 Home L * 85.39 14 20 1B 93 ( 8- 3) St Thomas MN 1.32 -7.32
6 10/07/2023 Away L * 62.70 7 31 1B 119 ( 4- 7) Morehead St -21.37 -2.63
7 10/14/2023 Home L * 75.52 17 20 1B 122 ( 4- 7) Presbyterian -8.55 5.55
8 10/21/2023 Home L * 66.47 10 37 1B 85 ( 7- 4) Butler -17.60 -9.40
9 11/04/2023 Away L * 69.77 7 21 1B 121 ( 3- 8) Valparaiso -14.30 0.30
10 11/11/2023 Home W * 104.19 35 6 1B 125 ( 4- 7) Marist 20.11 8.89
11 11/18/2023 Away W * 122.44 45 14 1B 110 ( 7- 4) Davidson 38.36 -7.36
Averages 84.08 24.9 24.9
Best game: 122.44 = 31 point win over Davidson
Worst game: 62.70 = 24 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev: 18.08