BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1A Class Rank: 66 Overall: (11-3) Overall Strength = 132.06
Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (8-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (10-3)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2023 Away L 130.58 28 30 1A 70 ( 5- 7) Illinois -1.48 -0.52
2 09/09/2023 Home W 156.34 71 3 1B 107 ( 3- 8) Texas Southern 24.28 * 43.72
3 09/16/2023 Home W 136.64 21 17 1A 55 ( 7- 6) San Jose St 4.58 -0.58
4 09/23/2023 Home W * 131.07 49 31 1A 119 ( 4- 8) Western Michigan -0.99 18.99
5 09/30/2023 Home W * 123.04 35 33 1A 101 ( 7- 6) Northern Illinois -9.02 11.02
6 10/07/2023 Away W 130.28 41 24 1A 127 ( 3- 9) Massachusetts -1.77 18.77
7 10/14/2023 Away W * 126.05 13 6 1A 117 ( 4- 8) Ball St -6.00 13.00
8 10/21/2023 Away W * 135.00 21 17 1A 76 ( 11- 3) Miami OH 2.94 1.06
9 10/31/2023 Home W * 130.84 31 13 1A 121 ( 3- 9) Buffalo -1.22 19.22
10 11/08/2023 Home W * 134.77 49 23 1A 128 ( 6- 7) Eastern Michigan 2.71 23.29
11 11/14/2023 Away W * 129.94 32 31 1A 85 ( 7- 6) Bowling Green -2.11 3.11
12 11/24/2023 Away W * 133.23 32 17 1A 118 ( 5- 7) Central Michigan 1.17 13.83
13 12/02/2023 Unknown L * 119.83 14 23 1A 76 ( 11- 3) Miami OH -12.23 3.23
14 12/30/2023 Unknown L 131.22 15 16 1A 64 ( 9- 4) Wyoming -0.84 -0.16
Averages 132.06 32.3 20.3
Best game: 156.34 = 68 point win over Texas Southern
Worst game: 119.83 = 9 point loss to Miami OH
Team stdev: 8.36