BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 70 Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength = 130.41
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (3-6) | District: 1A-01 Record: (5-7)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2023 Home W 131.89 30 28 1A 66 ( 11- 3) Toledo 1.48 0.52
2 09/08/2023 Away L 137.27 23 34 1A 21 ( 9- 4) Kansas 6.86 -17.86
3 09/16/2023 Home L * 139.59 13 30 1A 4 ( 10- 3) Penn State 9.18 -26.18
4 09/23/2023 Home W 127.10 23 17 1A 100 ( 4- 8) Florida Atlantic -3.31 9.31
5 09/30/2023 Away L * 107.32 19 44 1A 71 ( 4- 8) Purdue -23.09 -1.91
6 10/06/2023 Home L * 117.45 7 20 1A 63 ( 5- 7) Nebraska -12.95 -0.05
7 10/14/2023 Away W * 146.94 27 24 1A 30 ( 8- 5) Maryland 16.53 -13.53
8 10/21/2023 Home L * 131.11 21 25 1A 48 ( 7- 6) Wisconsin 0.70 -4.70
9 11/04/2023 Away W * 131.59 27 26 1A 78 ( 6- 7) Minnesota 1.18 -0.18
10 11/11/2023 Home W * 129.05 48 45 1A 79 ( 3- 9) Indiana -1.36 4.36
11 11/18/2023 Away L * 136.50 13 15 1A 52 ( 10- 4) Iowa 6.09 -8.09
12 11/25/2023 Home L * 129.09 43 45 1A 60 ( 8- 5) Northwestern -1.32 -0.68
Averages 130.41 24.5 29.4
Best game: 146.94 = 3 point win over Maryland
Worst game: 107.32 = 25 point loss to Purdue
Team stdev: 10.28