BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1A Class Rank: 61 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength = 85.43
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/04/2021 Home W 96.04 49 10 1B 89 ( 6- 5) Norfolk St 11.26 27.74
2 09/11/2021 Away L 100.90 29 32 1A 6 ( 11- 1) Notre Dame 16.12 -19.12
3 09/18/2021 Home L 57.35 6 22 1A 93 ( 3- 9) Colorado St -27.43 11.43
4 09/25/2021 Away W * 88.64 22 12 1A 96 ( 6- 6) Ball St 3.86 6.14
5 10/02/2021 Away W 92.91 45 7 1A 130 ( 1- 11) Massachusetts 8.13 29.87
6 10/09/2021 Home L * 70.11 20 22 1A 100 ( 8- 4) Northern Illinois -14.67 12.67
7 10/16/2021 Away L * 80.40 23 26 1A 76 ( 8- 4) Central Michigan -4.38 1.38
8 10/23/2021 Home W * 96.42 34 15 1A 80 ( 7- 5) Western Michigan 11.64 7.36
9 11/02/2021 Home L * 70.82 49 52 1A 91 ( 7- 5) Eastern Michigan -13.96 10.96
10 11/10/2021 Away W * 99.89 49 17 1A 117 ( 4- 8) Bowling Green 15.11 16.89
11 11/16/2021 Away W * 81.89 35 23 1A 116 ( 3- 9) Ohio U. -2.89 14.89
12 11/27/2021 Home W * 89.81 49 14 1A 126 ( 2- 10) Akron 5.03 29.97
Averages 85.43 34.2 21.0
Best game: 100.90 = 3 point loss to Notre Dame
Worst game: 57.35 = 16 point loss to Colorado St
Team stdev: 13.62