BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Massachusetts

Class: 1A Class Rank: 130 Conference: Division I FBS Independents Record: (1-3) Overall: (1-11) Overall Strength =   52.65

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Away    L    56.37   7  51   1A  15 ( 10-  2) Pittsburgh              4.14 *  -48.14                      
  2 09/11/2021 Home    L    61.94  28  45   1A  73 (  6-  6) Boston College          9.71    -26.71                      
  3 09/18/2021 Home    L    59.82  28  42   1A  91 (  7-  5) Eastern Michigan        7.60    -21.60                      
  4 09/25/2021 Away    L    42.12   3  53   1A  49 ( 10-  2) Coastal Carolina      -10.10 *  -39.90                      
  5 10/02/2021 Home    L    44.09   7  45   1A  61 (  7-  5) Toledo                 -8.13    -29.87                      
  6 10/09/2021 Home    W *  69.42  27  13   1A 127 (  1- 11) Connecticut            17.19     -3.19                      
  7 10/23/2021 Away    L    32.37   3  59   1A  62 (  5-  7) Florida St            -19.86 *  -36.14                      
  8 10/30/2021 Away    L *  44.39  17  62   1A  58 (  7-  5) Liberty                -7.83 *  -37.17                      
  9 11/06/2021 Home    L    49.31  22  35   1B  62 (  7-  4) Rhode Island           -2.92    -10.08                      
 10 11/13/2021 Home    L    38.12  10  35   1B  60 (  6-  5) Maine                 -14.11    -10.89                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    L *  74.34  17  33   1A  37 (  8-  3) Army                   22.11 *  -38.11                      
 12 11/27/2021 Away    L *  45.87  27  44   1A 125 (  2- 10) New Mexico St          -6.36    -10.64                      
      Averages              51.51  16.3 43.1

Best game:   74.34 = 16 point loss to Army
Worst game:  32.37 = 56 point loss to Florida St
Team stdev:  12.86