BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Aurora
Class: 3 Class Rank: 149 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (5-2) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength = 63.74
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Away L 80.81 7 16 3 59 ( 10- 2) St Norbert 17.07 -26.07
2 09/08/2018 Home L 58.55 20 21 3 161 ( 1- 9) Elmhurst -5.19 4.19
3 09/15/2018 Home L 43.97 5 27 3 125 ( 4- 6) Adrian -19.77 -2.23
4 09/29/2018 Away L * 65.82 28 31 3 121 ( 9- 2) Eureka 2.08 -5.08
5 10/06/2018 Away W * 55.42 35 30 3 204 ( 2- 8) Concordia IL -8.32 13.32
6 10/13/2018 Home L * 51.61 20 23 3 177 ( 7- 3) Concordia WI -12.13 9.13
7 10/20/2018 Away W * 71.20 25 7 3 195 ( 3- 7) Rockford 7.46 10.54
8 10/27/2018 Home W * 84.96 43 0 3 214 ( 2- 8) Wisconsin Lutheran 21.22 21.78
9 11/03/2018 Away W * 69.43 41 24 3 198 ( 3- 7) Benedictine IL 5.69 11.31
10 11/10/2018 Home W * 55.63 25 22 3 184 ( 4- 6) Lakeland -8.11 11.11
Averages 63.74 24.9 20.1
Best game: 84.96 = 43 point win over Wisconsin Lutheran
Worst game: 43.97 = 22 point loss to Adrian
Team stdev: 13.06