BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Adrian

Class: 3 Class Rank: 125 Conference: Michigan Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (2-5) Overall: (4-6) Overall Strength =   68.41

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2018 Away    L    62.05  17  34    3  95 (  5-  5) Ohio Northern          -6.16    -10.84                      
  2 09/08/2018 Home    W    80.28  56  27    3 190 (  1-  9) Buffalo St             12.07     16.93                      
  3 09/15/2018 Away    W    87.98  27   5    3 149 (  5-  5) Aurora                 19.77      2.23                      
  4 09/29/2018 Away    L *  69.21  30  31    3 137 (  7-  3) Kalamazoo               1.00     -2.00                      
  5 10/06/2018 Home    L *  46.49  22  50    3  96 (  6-  4) Olivet                -21.72     -6.28                      
  6 10/13/2018 Away    W *  67.75  28  23    3 166 (  2-  8) Alma                   -0.45      5.45                      
  7 10/20/2018 Home    L *  66.82  42  49    3 102 (  7-  3) Albion                 -1.39     -5.61                      
  8 10/27/2018 Home    W *  66.44  49   6    3 245 (  0- 10) Finlandia              -1.77 *   44.77                      
  9 11/03/2018 Away    L *  72.47  27  42    3  36 ( 10-  1) Trine                   4.26    -19.26                      
 10 11/10/2018 Home    L *  62.59  14  33    3  61 (  8-  2) Hope                   -5.62    -13.38                      
      Averages              68.21  31.2 30.0

Best game:   87.98 = 22 point win over Aurora
Worst game:  46.49 = 28 point loss to Olivet
Team stdev:  11.07