BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
Matchup Report
Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home
Home court advantage = 2.65
Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models
Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games
Modified Standard Momentum
Date Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor Level Rank ( W- L) Home Matchup Line Prob Line Prob Line Prob
03/12/2026 1 (20-10) LIU Brooklyn ZZ (15-15) Mercyhurst 13.64 -5.31 69% -5.31 69% -2.30 58%
03/13/2026 1 64 (20- 7) Columbia 1 68 (17-10) Harvard 44.83 -1.06 54% -2.34 59% -1.51 56%
03/10/2026 1 84 (23-10) Oregon St 1 60 (23- 9) Gonzaga 38.13 6.77 74% 7.08 75% 3.91 64%
03/12/2026 1 161 (17-12) Liberty 1 148 (18-11) Sam Houston St 34.45 0.74 53% 0.20 51% -5.04 68%
03/12/2026 1 143 (24- 6) Army 1 170 (21- 9) Holy Cross 34.37 0.57 52% 0.35 51% 9.33 81%
03/12/2026 1 159 (16-14) Middle Tennessee St 1 126 (19-12) Missouri St 33.46 2.85 60% 2.85 60% 16.01 93%
03/13/2026 1 155 (20-11) Bradley 1 121 (17-13) Northern Iowa 32.84 2.88 61% 3.65 63% 8.00 77%
03/11/2026 1 125 (18-11) Central Michigan 1 147 (17-12) Ohio 32.42 -2.33 59% -4.04 65% 5.28 69%
03/10/2026 1 128 (14-16) Temple 1 173 (11-19) Tulane 31.91 -4.36 66% -3.74 64% -5.63 70%
03/10/2026 1 141 (24- 8) Youngstown St 1 93 (24- 8) WI Green Bay 30.24 8.33 78% 8.47 78% 6.50 73%
03/11/2026 1 176 (15-15) Kent 1 80 (25- 6) Miami OH 30.06 10.47 84% 8.59 79% 6.56 73%
03/13/2026 1 164 (19-12) Maine 1 104 (26- 7) Vermont 28.81 8.47 78% 8.65 79% 10.51 84%
03/11/2026 1 165 (15-14) Toledo 1 103 (23- 6) Massachusetts 28.79 8.79 79% 8.81 79% 16.36 94%
03/13/2026 1 139 (16-10) Brown 1 45 (24- 3) Princeton 28.79 15.53 93% 14.82 92% 22.34 98%
03/12/2026 1 214 (12-16) Tarleton St 1 185 (16-13) Utah Valley 28.46 2.29 58% 2.56 59% 19.15 96%
03/10/2026 1 244 (12-18) Delaware 1 250 (13-16) Kennesaw 26.96 -0.67 52% 0.43 52% 7.09 75%
03/10/2026 1 221 (18-13) Northwestern LA 1 227 (19-12) UTRGV 26.52 1.87 57% 2.00 57% 0.47 52%
03/11/2026 1 77 (25- 6) Ball St 1 187 (17-13) Bowling Green 26.02 -12.10 87% -12.66 88% -12.11 87%
03/12/2026 1 265 (12-17) NC A&T 1 235 (16-13) William & Mary 24.85 2.90 61% 2.14 58% 0.25 51%
03/11/2026 1 136 (20- 9) UC Santa Barbara 1 229 (10-20) UC Riverside 24.64 -7.82 77% -7.87 77% -13.06 89%
03/12/2026 1 216 (16-13) Lehigh 1 133 (22- 7) Navy 24.10 9.27 81% 9.27 81% 6.93 74%
03/10/2026 1 243 (13-17) Florida Atlantic 1 150 (14-17) Charlotte 24.07 7.60 76% 7.27 75% 6.51 73%
03/11/2026 1 260 ( 9-19) Utah Tech 1 231 (10-20) UT Arlington 23.88 2.39 59% 2.71 60% -13.30 89%
03/10/2026 1 201 (15-17) CS Sacramento 1 94 (27- 5) Idaho 22.81 13.27 89% 13.45 89% 7.41 76%
03/10/2026 1 206 (16-17) Air Force 1 73 (26- 7) Colorado St 21.03 17.06 94% 16.66 94% 12.24 87%
03/10/2026 1 226 (15-15) Jacksonville St 1 270 (13-16) UTEP 20.69 -4.46 66% -5.78 70% -3.59 63%
03/12/2026 1 274 ( 8-21) Hofstra 1 237 (17-13) Towson 20.60 4.05 65% 5.52 70% 1.49 56%
03/10/2026 1 207 (15-17) E Washington 1 70 (24- 6) Montana St 20.36 17.40 95% 18.31 96% 6.80 74%
03/11/2026 1 188 (17-13) CS Fullerton 1 273 (10-19) CS Northridge 20.01 -8.14 78% -8.68 79% 0.24 51%
03/12/2026 1 266 ( 7-24) Evansville 1 191 (14-17) IL Chicago 19.73 7.21 75% 7.95 77% 12.25 87%
03/12/2026 1 309 ( 9-21) Indiana St 1 276 (10-19) S Illinois 17.99 3.69 63% 3.91 64% 2.63 60%
03/12/2026 1 307 (15-14) Alabama St 1 311 (13-18) Grambling 17.36 -0.51 52% 1.59 56% 9.18 80%
03/10/2026 1 272 (15-15) Nicholls St 1 182 (21- 9) SF Austin 16.90 11.15 85% 11.50 86% 12.77 88%
03/12/2026 1 310 ( 9-22) Coppin St 1 312 ( 9-19) NC Central 16.23 -1.15 54% -3.46 63% 5.50 70%
03/12/2026 1 230 (15-15) Elon 1 306 (10-20) Hampton 15.21 -8.16 78% -9.32 81% -4.60 67%
03/11/2026 1 297 ( 7-21) Northeastern 1 322 ( 6-23) UNC Wilmington 14.65 -4.29 66% -4.34 66% -4.23 65%
03/12/2026 1 329 (12-18) Jackson St 1 239 (16-13) Southern Univ 13.70 12.53 88% 9.76 82% 15.58 93%
03/10/2026 1 349 ( 7-25) Bethune-Cookman 1 341 ( 8-21) Florida A&M 8.68 4.61 67% 3.53 63% 0.45 52%
03/11/2026 1 336 ( 7-22) Delaware St 1 255 (18-13) MD E Shore 8.55 12.00 87% 11.73 86% 2.13 58%
03/12/2026 1 342 ( 5-25) Morgan St 1 199 (16-13) Norfolk St 4.99 17.75 95% 16.75 94% 20.31 97%
03/10/2026 1 352 ( 9-22) MS Valley St 1 328 (13-15) Ark Pine Bluff -0.90 8.13 78% 11.40 86% 12.56 88%
03/12/2026 ZZ (12-20) Le Moyne 1 (28- 4) F Dickinson -5.02 27.80 100% 27.14 99% 27.54 99%
03/12/2026 1 210 (11-19) Drake 1 353 ( 0-31) Valparaiso -5.41 -22.36 98% -24.00 99% -26.35 99%
03/11/2026 1 157 (23- 7) Howard 1 356 ( 5-24) S Carolina St -10.69 -32.59 100% -29.61 100% -41.36 100%