BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home court advantage =    2.69

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
04/03/2026    1    1 (38- 0) Connecticut             1    3 (35- 3) South Carolina         81.75   -3.67  63%  -2.36  59%   0.92  53%
04/03/2026    1    4 (35- 3) Texas                   1    2 (35- 1) UCLA                   81.52    1.87  57%   0.47  52%  -4.68  67%
04/01/2026    1   51 (26-11) BYU                     1   53 (24- 8) Columbia               50.45   -0.69  53%   0.93  53%  11.06  85%
04/01/2026    1   99 (26- 9) Marshall                1   82 (27- 9) Arkansas St            36.72    5.02  68%   5.72  70%   7.34  75%
04/01/2026    1  142 (23-13) Illinois St             1  111 (26- 9) South Dakota           33.14    5.91  71%   4.29  66%   9.66  82%