BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Valparaiso

Class: 1 Class Rank: 354 Overall: (0-15) Overall Strength =    9.40
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (0-4) | District: 1-02 Record: (0-14)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2025 Away    L   *  -5.24  54  92    1 221 ( 3-14) DePaul                -13.08    -24.92                      
 2 11-08-2025 Away    L   *  -1.89  48  78    1 280 ( 4-10) Detroit                -9.73    -20.27                      
 3 11-12-2025 Away    L      20.37  50  97    1  28 (14- 1) Iowa St                12.53 *  -59.53                      
 4 11-16-2025 Home    L   *  16.65  67  72 1  1 290 ( 5-11) WI Milwaukee            8.80    -13.80                      
 5 11-21-2025 Away    L   *   4.26  44  85    1 103 (11- 4) South Dakota           -3.58 *  -37.42                      
 6 11-26-2025 Neutral L   *  21.12  61  68    1 244 ( 9- 8) Radford                13.28    -20.28                      
 7 11-28-2025 Away    L   *  -0.09  41  80    1 175 (12- 5) Cleveland St           -7.93 *  -31.07                      
 8 11-29-2025 Neutral L   *  -2.42  55  87    1 233 (10- 5) St Bonaventure        -10.26    -21.74                      
 9 12-07-2025 Home    L * *  12.34  44  61    1 220 ( 7- 8) IL Chicago              4.50    -21.50                      
10 12-12-2025 Home    L   *  15.27  69  76    1 287 ( 8- 7) SIUE                    7.43    -14.43                      
11 12-14-2025 Away    L   *  18.44  48  58    1 270 ( 4- 8) Western Michigan       10.60    -20.60                      
12 12-17-2025 Home    L   *  -8.93  41  91    1 129 ( 8- 5) Central Michigan      -16.77 *  -33.23                      
13 12-29-2025 Home    L * *   7.98  52  86    1  95 ( 8- 6) Northern Iowa           0.14 *  -34.14                      
14 01-01-2026 Away    L * *  13.07  78  88    1 315 ( 5- 9) Indiana St              5.23    -15.23                      
15 01-03-2026 Away    L * *   6.70  46  66    1 258 ( 3-11) Evansville             -1.15    -18.85                      
16 01/08/2026 Home      * *                   1 162 ( 8- 6) Bradley                         -25.70            
17 01/10/2026 Away      * *                   1 312 ( 3-10) S Illinois                      -14.18            
18 01/15/2026 Away      * *                   1 116 ( 7- 8) Illinois St                     -34.60            
19 01/18/2026 Home      * *                   1 212 ( 4- 9) Drake                           -21.03            
20 01/23/2026 Away      * *                   1 162 ( 8- 6) Bradley                         -30.65            
21 01/29/2026 Home      * *                   1 315 ( 5- 9) Indiana St                       -8.63            
22 01/31/2026 Away      * *                   1 220 ( 7- 8) IL Chicago                      -24.89            
23 02/05/2026 Home      * *                   1 258 ( 3-11) Evansville                      -15.83            
24 02/07/2026 Home      * *                   1 312 ( 3-10) S Illinois                       -9.23            
25 02/13/2026 Away      * *                   1  93 (13- 2) Murray St                       -37.68            
26 02/15/2026 Away      * *                   1  86 ( 8- 7) Belmont                         -39.19            
27 02/19/2026 Away      * *                   1 212 ( 4- 9) Drake                           -25.99            
28 02/26/2026 Away      * *                   1  95 ( 8- 6) Northern Iowa                   -37.54            
29 02/28/2026 Home      * *                   1 116 ( 7- 8) Illinois St                     -29.64            
30 03/05/2026 Home      * *                   1  86 ( 8- 7) Belmont                         -34.23            
31 03/07/2026 Home      * *                   1  93 (13- 2) Murray St                       -32.72            
      Averages               7.84  53.2 79.0

Best game:   21.12 = 7 point loss to Radford
Worst game:  -8.93 = 50 point loss to C Michigan
Team stdev:   9.84