BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Valparaiso

Class: 1 Class Rank: 353 Overall: (0-32) Overall Strength =    8.17
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (0-21) | District: 1-02 Record: (0-31)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2025 Away    L   *  -2.69  54  92    1 181 ( 8-24) DePaul                 -9.33 *  -28.67                      
 2 11-08-2025 Away    L   *  -5.99  48  78    1 303 ( 7-24) Detroit               -12.62    -17.38                      
 3 11-12-2025 Away    L      13.24  50  97    1  36 (22-10) Iowa St                 6.60 *  -53.60                      
 4 11-16-2025 Home    L   *  13.02  67  72 1  1 307 ( 8-24) WI Milwaukee            6.38    -11.38                      
 5 11-21-2025 Away    L   *  -0.49  44  85    1 116 (26-10) South Dakota           -7.13 *  -33.87                      
 6 11-26-2025 Neutral L   *  22.56  61  68    1 219 (23-13) Radford                15.93    -22.93                      
 7 11-28-2025 Away    L   *  -0.70  41  80    1 152 (26-10) Cleveland St           -7.33 *  -31.67                      
 8 11-29-2025 Neutral L   *  -1.86  55  87    1 213 (17-16) St Bonaventure         -8.49    -23.51                      
 9 12-07-2025 Home    L * *  11.71  44  61    1 197 (14-18) IL Chicago              5.07    -22.07                      
10 12-12-2025 Home    L   *  16.83  69  76    1 248 (16-16) SIUE                   10.19    -17.19                      
11 12-14-2025 Away    L   *  17.86  48  58    1 265 ( 9-20) Western Michigan       11.22    -21.22                      
12 12-17-2025 Home    L   * -14.13  41  91    1 126 (18-12) Central Michigan      -20.77 *  -29.23                      
13 12-29-2025 Home    L * *   1.30  52  86    1 130 (18-14) Northern Iowa          -5.34 *  -28.66                      
14 01-01-2026 Away    L * *  13.35  78  88    1 305 (10-22) Indiana St              6.71    -16.71                      
15 01-03-2026 Away    L * *   8.01  46  66    1 258 (10-25) Evansville              1.37    -21.37                      
16 01-08-2026 Home    L * *  -3.89  44  80    1 157 (20-13) Bradley               -10.53    -25.47                      
17 01-10-2026 Away    L * * -11.84  59  97    1 282 (10-20) S Illinois            -18.48    -19.52                      
18 01-15-2026 Away    L * *  20.13  74  93    1 138 (24-14) Illinois St            13.49 *  -32.49                      
19 01-18-2026 Home    L * *  17.90  56  66    1 212 (12-20) Drake                  11.27    -21.27                      
20 01-23-2026 Away    L * *  -2.52  39  79    1 157 (20-13) Bradley                -9.15 *  -30.85                      
21 01-29-2026 Home    L * *   3.97  63  77    1 305 (10-22) Indiana St             -2.67    -11.33                      
22 01-31-2026 Away    L * *  15.08  57  76    1 197 (14-18) IL Chicago              8.45 *  -27.45                      
23 02-05-2026 Home    L * *  -1.36  59  83    1 258 (10-25) Evansville             -8.00    -16.00                      
24 02-07-2026 Home    L * *  11.79  73  82    1 282 (10-20) S Illinois              5.15    -14.15                      
25 02-13-2026 Away    L * *  19.71  69  95    1  83 (32- 4) Murray St              13.08 *  -39.08                      
26 02-15-2026 Away    L * *   3.06  37  77    1 105 (20-12) Belmont                -3.57 *  -36.43                      
27 02-19-2026 Away    L * *  22.28  68  79    1 212 (12-20) Drake                  15.64    -26.64                      
28 02-26-2026 Away    L * *   2.68  54  92    1 130 (18-14) Northern Iowa          -3.96 *  -34.04                      
29 02-28-2026 Home    L * *  -7.24  42  83    1 138 (24-14) Illinois St           -13.88 *  -27.12                      
30 03-05-2026 Home    L * *  17.69  63  83    1 105 (20-12) Belmont                11.05 *  -31.05                      
31 03-07-2026 Home    L * *   8.34  68 100    1  83 (32- 4) Murray St               1.70 *  -33.70                      
32 03-12-2026 Neutral L * *   4.59  55  81    1 212 (12-20) Drake                  -2.05    -23.95                      
      Averages               6.64  55.6 81.5

Best game:   22.56 = 7 point loss to Radford
Worst game: -14.13 = 50 point loss to C Michigan
Team stdev:  10.32