BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Valparaiso

Class: 1 Class Rank: 353 Overall: (0-31) Overall Strength =    8.11
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (0-20) | District: 1-02 Record: (0-30)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2025 Away    L   *  -2.58  54  92    1 177 ( 8-24) DePaul                 -9.17 *  -28.83                      
 2 11-08-2025 Away    L   *  -6.24  48  78    1 298 ( 7-24) Detroit               -12.83    -17.17                      
 3 11-12-2025 Away    L      13.64  50  97    1  36 (22- 9) Iowa St                 7.05 *  -54.05                      
 4 11-16-2025 Home    L   *  12.89  67  72 1  1 304 ( 8-24) WI Milwaukee            6.30    -11.30                      
 5 11-21-2025 Away    L   *  -1.45  44  85    1 123 (23- 9) South Dakota           -8.04 *  -32.96                      
 6 11-26-2025 Neutral L   *  22.26  61  68    1 222 (22-12) Radford                15.67    -22.67                      
 7 11-28-2025 Away    L   *  -0.98  41  80    1 152 (24- 9) Cleveland St           -7.58 *  -31.42                      
 8 11-29-2025 Neutral L   *  -1.92  55  87    1 215 (16-15) St Bonaventure         -8.51    -23.49                      
 9 12-07-2025 Home    L * *  12.01  44  61    1 191 (14-17) IL Chicago              5.41    -22.41                      
10 12-12-2025 Home    L   *  16.94  69  76    1 246 (16-16) SIUE                   10.35    -17.35                      
11 12-14-2025 Away    L   *  17.64  48  58    1 264 ( 9-20) Western Michigan       11.05    -21.05                      
12 12-17-2025 Home    L   * -14.17  41  91    1 125 (18-11) Central Michigan      -20.76 *  -29.24                      
13 12-29-2025 Home    L * *   1.66  52  86    1 121 (17-13) Northern Iowa          -4.93 *  -29.07                      
14 01-01-2026 Away    L * *  12.60  78  88    1 309 ( 9-21) Indiana St              6.00    -16.00                      
15 01-03-2026 Away    L * *   6.35  46  66    1 266 ( 7-24) Evansville             -0.24    -19.76                      
16 01-08-2026 Home    L * *  -3.99  44  80    1 155 (20-11) Bradley               -10.58    -25.42                      
17 01-10-2026 Away    L * * -11.49  59  97    1 276 (10-19) S Illinois            -18.08    -19.92                      
18 01-15-2026 Away    L * *  19.90  74  93    1 142 (19-12) Illinois St            13.31 *  -32.31                      
19 01-18-2026 Home    L * *  17.95  56  66    1 210 (11-19) Drake                  11.36    -21.36                      
20 01-23-2026 Away    L * *  -2.69  39  79    1 155 (20-11) Bradley                -9.28 *  -30.72                      
21 01-29-2026 Home    L * *   3.30  63  77    1 309 ( 9-21) Indiana St             -3.29    -10.71                      
22 01-31-2026 Away    L * *  15.30  57  76    1 191 (14-17) IL Chicago              8.71 *  -27.71                      
23 02-05-2026 Home    L * *  -2.94  59  83    1 266 ( 7-24) Evansville             -9.54    -14.46                      
24 02-07-2026 Home    L * *  12.21  73  82    1 276 (10-19) S Illinois              5.62    -14.62                      
25 02-13-2026 Away    L * *  19.75  69  95    1  81 (29- 3) Murray St              13.15 *  -39.15                      
26 02-15-2026 Away    L * *   3.74  37  77    1  99 (20-11) Belmont                -2.86 *  -37.14                      
27 02-19-2026 Away    L * *  22.24  68  79    1 210 (11-19) Drake                  15.65    -26.65                      
28 02-26-2026 Away    L * *   2.96  54  92    1 121 (17-13) Northern Iowa          -3.64 *  -34.36                      
29 02-28-2026 Home    L * *  -7.39  42  83    1 142 (19-12) Illinois St           -13.99 *  -27.01                      
30 03-05-2026 Home    L * *  18.44  63  83    1  99 (20-11) Belmont                11.85 *  -31.85                      
31 03-07-2026 Home    L * *   8.45  68 100    1  81 (29- 3) Murray St               1.86 *  -33.86                      
32 03/12/2026 Neutral   * *                   1 210 (11-19) Drake                           -22.36            
      Averages               6.59  55.6 81.5

Best game:   22.26 = 7 point loss to Radford
Worst game: -14.17 = 50 point loss to C Michigan
Team stdev:  10.56